Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 24

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio de São Luís (Faro)

Referee: Silva D. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Portugal	Sport TV1
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5


	Farense		AVS

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	3	3.4
				Watch
	2.33	3.07	3.65
				Watch
	2.2	2.9	3.3	Watch
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.25)	2.99 ↓ (3.15)	3.45 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Farense
41.7%

Draw
31.3%

AVS
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

30.1%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

29.3%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Farense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

AVS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farense than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AVS than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	46.7%	13.3%

Farense - AVS Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Farense will win (votes: 6 - 40%). AVS will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Velho R. (C) 44. Lucas Africo 29. Claudio Falcao 4. Jorge A. 28. Pastor 8. Ze Carlos 93. Menino M. 31. Derick Poloni 20. Rony Lopes 9. Tomane 10. Njie Y.	13. Ochoa G. (C) 25. Tavares T. 33. Santos A. 42. Devenish C. 3. Rodrigues R. 7. Lucas Fernandes 14. Lucas Piazon 15. Grau J. 17. Mercado J. 20. Ribeiro R. 29. Ze Luis
Substitutes
7. Balde E. 11. Bermejo A. 19. Costa R. 1. Kaique Pereira (G) 77. Matias M. 3. Moreno M. 14. Poveda D. 5. Ribeiro T. 21. Soares F.	12. Assuncao G. A. 2. Fonseca F. 16. Mena Y. 23. Mendonca G. 18. Nene 9. Rodrigues G. 4. Rodriguez N. 93. Simao (G) 11. Tunde Akinsola
Coaches
Marreco T.	Ferreira R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Tavares T. 🟨,
27', Santos A. ↓, Rodriguez N. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Ribeiro R. ↓, Rodrigues G. ↑,
57', Tavares T. ↓, Fonseca F. ↑,
57', Grau J. 🟨,
63', Rony Lopes 🟨,
68', Pastor ↓, Matias M. ↑,
68', Rony Lopes ↓, Balde E. ↑,
74', Njie Y. ↓, Costa R. ↑,
74', Ze Carlos ↓, Soares F. ↑,
77', Rodrigues R. ↓, Tunde Akinsola ↑,
77', Lucas Fernandes ↓, Mendonca G. ↑,
83', Jorge A. ↓, Bermejo A. ↑,
90+4', Velho R. 🟨,
90+6', 0 - 1, Ze Luis (Pen),

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation)).

Farense has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches AVS is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Farense will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in AVS: Aburjania G. (Injury) Kiki (Injury)

There are questionable in AVS: Lopes V. (Injury) Veiga E. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Farense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Farense
Liga Portugal
23.02.25	Arouca - Farense	2:2 ✺
16.02.25	Farense - Porto	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	Farense - Nacional	0:2 ✺
02.02.25	Sporting Lisbon - Farense	3:1 ✺
25.01.25	Farense - Rio Ave	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLLLL
- AVS Futebol SAD
Liga Portugal
23.02.25	AVS - Sporting Lisbon	2:2 ✺
16.02.25	Rio Ave - AVS	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	AVS - Santa Clara	1:2 ✺
01.02.25	Vitoria Guimarães - AVS	2:0 ✺
27.01.25	AVS - Gil Vicente	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
30.09.24	AVS - Farense	0:0

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