Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - RELEGATION - FINAL

Date: 3 June 2023, Saturday

Location: Estádio José Gomes (Amadora)

Referee: Narciso A. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV, Sport TV+


	Estrela da Amadora		Marítimo

	1	X	2
	2.38	3	2.8
	2.5	3	2.95
	2.55	2.9	2.9
	2.56	3.08	3.14
	2.4	2.88	2.8
	2.47	3.15	3.02	Watch
	2.55	3	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.48)	3 ↑ (2.95)	2.96 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estrela da Amadora
37.5%

Draw
31%

Marítimo
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Marítimo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Estrela da Amadora - Marítimo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Bruno (G) 13. Lopes M. (C) 4. Gaspar K. 70. Mansur 12. Jean Felipe 18. Vito 32. Guzman S. 17. Joao Reis 89. Ronald 20. Tavares R. 77. Ndo R.	31. Marcelo Carne (G) 94. Vitor Costa 5. Zainadine J. (C) 3. Mosquera M. 27. Paulinho 21. Joao Afonso 16. Mendes D. 17. Correia F. 23. Xadas 57. Catamo G. 7. Vidigal A.
Substitutes
6. Aloisio 1. Antonio Filipe (G) 8. Balburdia M. 33. Correia R. 27. Hevertton S. 29. Kikas 11. Salomao D. 80. Santos Junior E. A. 9. Silva J.	2. Claudio Winck 12. Costa E. 30. Makaridze G. (G) 74. Marques R. 4. Matheus Costa 85. Nito F. 11. Ramirez J. 29. Riascos B. 8. Val
Coaches
Vieira S.	Gomes J. M.

Preview

1st leg.

Estrela is Qualified for Liga Portugal (Relegation )

Recent matches Estrela is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Marítimo is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Marítimo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Marítimo: Trmal M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Marítimo: Beltrame S. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estrela da Amadora
Portuguese Liga 2
27.05.23	Penafiel - Estrela da Amadora	2:4 ✺
21.05.23	Estrela da Amadora - Nacional	0:1 ✺
12.05.23	Trofense - Estrela da Amadora	2:2 ✺
06.05.23	Estrela da Amadora - Moreirense	2:4 ✺
28.04.23	Oliveirense - Estrela da Amadora	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLTLW
- CS Marítimo
Liga Portugal
27.05.23	Estoril Praia - Marítimo	3:1 ✺
19.05.23	Marítimo - Vizela	1:0 ✺
13.05.23	Sporting Lisbon - Marítimo	2:1 ✺
07.05.23	Marítimo - Rio Ave	2:2 ✺
29.04.23	Marítimo - Vitoria Guimarães	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLTL

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