Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 6

Date: 26 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi (La Plata)

Referee: Benitez J. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	ESPN 2, ESPN
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+, ESPN Premium
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Ecuador	ESPN
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	ESPN 2, ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	Estudiantes La Plata		Independiente Medellín

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.5	5.25	Watch
	1.61	3.6	5.75
	1.7	3.55	4.95	Watch
	1.75	3.6	5.59
	1.64	3.73	5.71	Watch
	1.67	3.3	5	Watch
	1.75	3.66	5.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.75)	3.56 ↑ (3.5)	5.42 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes La Plata
55.9%

Draw
26.6%

Independiente Medellín
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

26.5%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

28%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Estudiantes La Plata aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	0%	26.7%

Estudiantes La Plata - Independiente Medellín Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Estudiantes will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Ind Medellín will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Estudiantes: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Muslera F. (G) 20. Meza E. 4. Nunez S. 14. Gonzalez Pirez L. 13. Benedetti G. 18. Cetre E. 32. Amondarain M. 21. Piovi L. 29. Perez Fabricio 11. Farias F. 9. Carrillo G. (C)	25. Chaux E. (G) 2. Chaverra L. 24. Ortiz J. 33. Londono D. 18. Fabra F. 14. Perlaza B. 16. Loboa H. 6. Moreno D. (C) 11. Yony Gonzalez 19. Fydriszewski F. 13. Chaverra F.
Substitutes
28. Aguirre B. 27. Alario L. 17. Burgos J. 22. Castro A. 26. Funes Mori R. 8. Gabriel Neves 19. Gaich A. 1. Iacovich F. (G) 40. Mancuso E. 36. Pereyra J. 35. Pierani V. 7. Sosa J.	10. Catano D. 28. Davila A. 5. Escorcia L. 1. Ichazo S. (G) 26. Mena Perea E. 20. Montano J. 30. Palacios H. 23. Palacios M. 8. Serna A. 45. Valdelamar A. 88. Viveros J.
Coaches
Medina A.	Botero J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Fydriszewski F. 🟨,
34', Carrillo G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Chaux E. 🟨,
53', Perez Fabricio ↓, Aguirre B. ↑,
56', Chaverra F. ↓, Mena Perea E. ↑,
56', Yony Gonzalez ↓, Palacios H. ↑,
63', Farias F. ↓, Alario L. ↑,
63', Cetre E. ↓, Burgos J. ↑,
82', Fabra F. ↓, Escorcia L. ↑,
87', Benedetti G. ↓, Sosa J. ↑,
88', Piovi L. ↓, Castro A. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 0, Amondarain M. ⚽, Castro A. (A),
90+7', Muslera F. 🟨,

Preview

Estudiantes has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ind Medellín is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Estudiantes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Estudiantes is the team to beat.

There will not play in Estudiantes: Arzamendia S. (Knee Injury) Palacios T. (Yellow Cards) Palacios T. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Ind Medellín: Berrio L. (Injury) Larrosa E. (Inactive) Mantilla K. (Injury)

There are questionable in Ind Medellín: Moreno D. (Injury) Moreno D. (Inactive)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Estudiantes won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Outrights of Copa Libertadores for now

Estudiantes L.P.: 5.48%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estudiantes La Plata
Copa Libertadores
20.05.26	Flamengo - Estudiantes La Plata	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
10.05.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Racing	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
06.05.26	Cusco - Estudiantes La Plata	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.05.26	Platense - Estudiantes La Plata	0:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
29.04.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Flamengo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLTWT
- Independiente Medellín
Copa Libertadores
20.05.26	Cusco - Independiente Medellín	2:3 ✺
Colombian Copa
15.05.26	Orsomarso - Independiente Medellín	1:1 ✺
11.05.26	Independiente Medellín - Fortaleza CEIF	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
07.05.26	Independiente Medellín - Flamengo	Abandoned ✺
Colombian Primera A
03.05.26	Independiente Medellín - Rionegro Águilas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTW?L

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
08.04.26	Independiente Medellín - Estudiantes La Plata	1:1

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