Match Info

Date: 3 May 2022, Tuesday


	Estudiantes La Plata		Nacional Montevideo

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.75	5.5	Watch
	1.66	3.6	5.25
	1.61	3.65	5.6
	1.62	3.6	5.4
	1.65	3.83	5.89
	1.62	3.4	5.25	Watch
	1.64	3.82	5.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.8)	3.66 ↑ (3.3)	5.46 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes La Plata
57.3%

Draw
25.6%

Nacional Montevideo
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

27.6%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

30.1%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estudiantes La Plata's performance.

Nacional Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.5%	15%	2.5%

Estudiantes La Plata - Nacional Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: Estudiantes La Plata will win (33 of 40 users predict this - 82.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.72% – 94.28%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Estudiantes in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Nacional is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Estudiantes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Estudiantes is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Estudiantes to win the game is with odds 1.74.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Estudiantes won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Estudiantes won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estudiantes La Plata
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
29.04.22	Estudiantes La Plata - Aldosivi	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
26.04.22	Estudiantes La Plata - Red Bull Bragantino	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
22.04.22	Colón - Estudiantes La Plata	2:2 ✺
19.04.22	Estudiantes La Plata - Tigre	2:1 ✺
16.04.22	Barracas Central - Estudiantes La Plata	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWTWW
- Nacional Montevideo
Copa Libertadores
26.04.22	Vélez Sársfield - Nacional Montevideo	1:2 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
22.04.22	Cerro Largo - Nacional Montevideo	0:2 ✺
17.04.22	Nacional Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
13.04.22	Nacional Montevideo - Estudiantes La Plata	0:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
10.04.22	Boston River - Nacional Montevideo	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
13.04.22	Nacional Montevideo - Estudiantes La Plata	0:0
24.05.18	Estudiantes La Plata - Nacional Montevideo	3:1
28.02.18	Nacional Montevideo - Estudiantes La Plata	0:0

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