The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Estudiantes de Mérida 57.7%
Draw 24.3%
Trujillanos 18%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.5%
27.7%
22.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.4%
26.2%
21.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estudiantes de Mérida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estudiantes de Mérida's performance.
Trujillanos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Mérida than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estudiantes de Mérida that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trujillanos than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Estudiantes de Mérida - Trujillanos Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rojas T. (G) 37. Vera L. 25. Acosta H. 4. Rodriguez C. 20. Montilla Maldonado J. A. 11. Montero A. 5. Ramirez Holguin W. S. (C) 16. Lobo J. 14. Ivey R. 9. Hernandez J. 99. Matheus D.
1. Lopez V. (G) 88. Granados M. 6. Gonzalez J. 4. Gnemmi E. 33. Gonzalez M. (C) 5. Abet A. 36. Carmona J. 10. Abreu E. 11. Mosquera L. 8. Echeverria J. 7. Santos C.
Substitutes
35. Bravo L. 77. Caicedo C. 36. Chacon R. 23. Lacruz Y. 17. Magallan C. 13. Maldonado M. 33. Mejias Diego 30. Molina F. 31. Montes G. 24. Moreno J. 10. Pena A. 22. Sanabria A. (G)
26. Araujo A. 14. Femia N. 12. Garcia O. (G) 24. Gil C. 9. Gonzalez F. 22. Gonzalez K. 90. Linarez D. 18. Mendez J. 2. Morales B. 35. Nakache D. 77. Parra G. 60. Soler J.
Coaches
Gomez J.
Contreras R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Vera L. ↓, Montes G. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Echeverria J. ↓, Gonzalez K. ↑,
46', Montero A. ↓, Pena A. ↑,
48', 1 - 0, Matheus D. ⚽, Hernandez J. (A),
50', Gonzalez M. 🟨,
55', Abet A. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
56', Mosquera L. ↓, Araujo A. ↑,
67', Granados M. ↓, Linarez D. ↑,
67', Santos C. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
71', Matheus D. ↓, Caicedo C. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Gonzalez K. ⚽, Araujo A. (A),
78', Gonzalez K. 🟨,
80', Lobo J. ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
80', Hernandez J. ↓, Chacon R. ↑,
87', Contreras R. 🟥,
90+3', Mendez J. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 8th in the Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 12th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes Mérida won 4.
Estudiantes Mérida has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Trujillanos has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Estudiantes Mérida could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, Estudiantes Mérida is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Estudiantes Mérida has recorded 9 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 32:19 (averaging 1.6:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Estudiantes Mérida against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 14:8 goals (averaging 1.4:0.8 per game).
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Rojas T. (G) 
Ivey R. 
Gnemmi E. 
Caicedo C. 
Moreno J. 
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