Match Info

Premier League - Round 16

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Brentford Community Stadium (London)

Referee: Brooks J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League, Sky Sport Austria Top Event
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, FuboTV
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	CANAL+ Foot, CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	SÝN Sport
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257
Japan	U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kenya	Gotv
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 2, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	FOX One, Fox Sports
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	ESPN Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ESPN South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	AIS PLAY
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, Telemundo, USA Network
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+ Sport 1, K+, TV 360


	Brentford		Leeds United

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	4.1
	1.95	3.45	4.15
	2.02	3.42	4.16
	1.97	3.43	4.02	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.8
	2.06	3.54	4.03	Watch
	2	3.33	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.97)	3.41 ↓ (3.66)	4.04 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brentford
48.2%

Draw
28.1%

Leeds United
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

26%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

22.6%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brentford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Leeds United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brentford that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leeds United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Brentford - Leeds United Predictions

Users Predictions: 56 users predict this event. Brentford will win (votes: 40 - 71.4%). Leeds will win (votes: 8 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brentford: 59.6% – 83.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Brentford (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Leeds (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Leeds (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Brentford will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Brentford (votes: 17 - 81%). Leeds (votes: 3 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kelleher C. (G) 33. Kayode M. 22. Collins N. (C) 4. van den Berg S. 2. Hickey A. 6. Henderson J. 27. Janelt V. 19. Ouattara Da. 8. Jensen M. 23. Lewis-Potter K. 9. Thiago I.	1. Lucas Perri (G) 6. Rodon J. 15. Bijol J. 5. Struijk P. 2. Bogle J. 22. Tanaka A. 4. Ampadu E. (C) 18. Stach A. 3. Gudmundsson G. 9. Calvert-Lewin D. 19. Okafor N.
Substitutes
20. Ajer K. 24. Damsgaard M. 45. Donovan R. 3. Henry R. 15. Onyeka F. 25. Peart-Harris M. 5. Pinnock E. 12. Valdimarsson H. R. (G) 18. Yarmolyuk Y.	11. Aaronson B. 23. Bornauw S. 25. Byram S. 26. Darlow K. (G) 29. Gnonto W. 44. Gruev I. 20. Harrison J. 24. Justin J. 10. Piroe J.
Coaches
Andrews K.	Farke D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', Lewis-Potter K. ↓, Damsgaard M. ↑,
61', Hickey A. ↓, Henry R. ↑,
70', 1 - 0, Henderson J. ⚽,
73', Bijol J. ↓, Gnonto W. ↑,
73', Tanaka A. ↓, Aaronson B. ↑,
81', Janelt V. ↓, Yarmolyuk Y. ↑,
81', Jensen M. ↓, Ajer K. ↑,
82', 1 - 1, Calvert-Lewin D. ⚽, Gnonto W. (A),
89', Gudmundsson G. ↓, Justin J. ↑,
90+2', Okafor N. ↓, Harrison J. ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 15 and 16)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brentford won 1.

Brentford has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Leeds is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Brentford might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Brentford: Carvalho F. (Knee Injury) Dasilva J. (Knee Injury) Milambo A. (Knee Injury) Schade K. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Leeds: James D. (Hamstring Injury) Longstaff S. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Brentford: Nelson R. (Knock)

There are questionable in Leeds: Nmecha L. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Brentford won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:14. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Brentford won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:7. (average 2.1:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brentford FC
English Premier League
06.12.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Brentford	2:0 ✺
03.12.25	Arsenal - Brentford	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	Brentford - Burnley	3:1 ✺
22.11.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Brentford	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Brentford - Newcastle United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWLW
- Leeds United
English Premier League
06.12.25	Leeds United - Liverpool	3:3 ✺
03.12.25	Leeds United - Chelsea	3:1 ✺
29.11.25	Manchester City - Leeds United	3:2 ✺
23.11.25	Leeds United - Aston Villa	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Nottingham Forest - Leeds United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
22.01.23	Leeds United - Brentford	0:0
03.09.22	Brentford - Leeds United	5:2
22.05.22	Brentford - Leeds United	1:2
05.12.21	Leeds United - Brentford	2:2
English League Championship
11.02.20	Brentford - Leeds United	1:1
21.08.19	Leeds United - Brentford	1:0
22.04.19	Brentford - Leeds United	2:0

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