Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 19

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Woudestein (Rotterdam)

Referee: Nijhuis B. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 3, ESPN Extra


	Excelsior		Telstar

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	3.2	Watch
	2.28	3.45	3.05
	2.27	3.42	3.14	Watch
	2.2	3.25	3
	2.28	3.42	3.22	Watch
	2.22	3.25	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.06)	3.37 ↓ (3.54)	3.14 ↓ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excelsior
41.9%

Draw
28%

Telstar
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

26.4%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Telstar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	42.9%	23.8%

Excelsior - Telstar Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Excelsior will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%). Telstar will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 64.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Excelsior (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Telstar (2.18) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Excelsior (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Excelsior (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Excelsior (votes: 3 - 50%). Telstar (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. van Gassel S. (G) 2. Bronkhorst I. 4. Widell C. (C) 3. Meissen R. 12. Zagre A. 23. Yegoian I. 20. Hartjes L. 30. Sanches Fernandes D. 10. Naujoks N. 7. Hansson E. 33. Bergraaf J.	1. Koeman R. (G) 5. Ogidi Nwankwo N. 21. Koswal D. 6. Bakker D. (C) 11. Noslin T. 4. Offerhaus G. 17. Rossen N. 2. Hardeveld J. 39. Ritmeester van de Kamp J. 27. Brouwer P. 9. Zonneveld M.
Substitutes
6. Carlen A. 11. de Regt G. 5. Henderikx S. 15. Janssen S. 26. Jonathans M. 17. Martens N. 25. Middendorp S. 18. Nadje C. 16. Raatsie C. (G) 14. Schouten L. 29. van Duinen M.	13. Bodak T. (G) 10. Hamdaoui M. 7. Hetli S. 15. Lechkar A. 29. Malone D. 16. Mertens D. 20. Reiziger D. (G) 30. Tejan K.
Coaches
den Uil R.	Correia A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
52', 0 - 1, Ritmeester van de Kamp J. ⚽, Noslin T. (A),
57', 0 - 2, Rossen N. ⚽,
59', Hartjes L. 🟨,
68', Hartjes L. ↓, Janssen S. ↑,
68', Zagre A. ↓, Nadje C. ↑,
72', Naujoks N. 🟨,
74', Noslin T. ↓, Lechkar A. ↑,
74', Brouwer P. ↓, Hetli S. ↑,
74', Hansson E. ↓, de Regt G. ↑,
74', Sanches Fernandes D. ↓, Jonathans M. ↑,
75', 1 - 2, Yegoian I. ⚽,
79', Zonneveld M. ↓, Tejan K. ↑,
81', 2 - 2, Naujoks N. ⚽,
82', Naujoks N. ↓, van Duinen M. ↑,
83', Rossen N. ↓, Mertens D. ↑,
87', Nadje C. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Excelsior may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Telstar has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Telstar: Hatenboer C. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Excelsior: Nadje C. (Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:22. (average 2.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Excelsior won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.5:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15:9	6	11
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5:12	-7	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Excelsior Rotterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
10.01.26	PSV Eindhoven - Excelsior	5:1 ✺
20.12.25	Excelsior - Zwolle	2:1 ✺
05.12.25	Excelsior - Groningen	0:2 ✺
29.11.25	Excelsior - NAC Breda	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Ajax - Excelsior	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 LWLWW
- SC Telstar
Dutch KNVB Beker
14.01.26	Almere City - Telstar	1:3 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
11.01.26	Telstar - Ajax	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
05.01.26	Málaga - Telstar	Canceled ✺
05.01.26	Marbella - Telstar	Canceled ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
20.12.25	NAC Breda - Telstar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WL??W

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
01.11.25	Telstar - Excelsior	2:2
Dutch Eerste Divisie
21.02.25	Telstar - Excelsior	1:3
13.09.24	Excelsior - Telstar	3:2
08.04.22	Excelsior - Telstar	1:4
06.11.21	Telstar - Excelsior	2:5
16.04.21	Telstar - Excelsior	1:1
22.09.20	Excelsior - Telstar	1:2

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