Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 33

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Woudestein (Rotterdam)

Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)


	Excelsior		Volendam

	1	X	2
	1.73	4	4.33	Watch
	1.77	4	4.2
	1.82	3.55	4.45
	1.79	3.95	4.83
	1.84	3.35	4.79	Watch
	1.73	3.8	4
	1.79	3.71	4.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.75)	3.77 ↓ (4.03)	4.47 ↑ (4.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excelsior
53.4%

Draw
25.3%

Volendam
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

23.4%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

23%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Volendam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volendam than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	25%	8.3%

Excelsior - Volendam Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Excelsior will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Volendam will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Excelsior: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Excelsior (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. van Gassel S. (G) 3. Meissen R. 4. Widell C. (C) 14. Schouten L. 12. Zagre A. 10. Naujoks N. 20. Hartjes L. 23. Yegoian I. 30. Sanches Fernandes D. 11. de Regt G. 7. Hansson E.	16. Steur R. (G) 5. Ugwu P. 3. Amevor M. 20. Verschuren N. 32. Leliendal Y. 4. Bacuna J. 8. Yah G. 77. Ould-Chikh B. 21. Muhren R. (C) 29. Pauwels B. 99. Descotte A.
Substitutes
33. Bergraaf J. 2. Bronkhorst I. 24. Cairo G. 6. Carlen A. 15. Janssen S. 16. Raatsie C. (G) 8. Tielemans M. 29. van Duinen M. 9. Wlodarczyk S.	25. Blondeau L. 17. Ideho J. 7. Kokcu O. 10. Kuwas B. 14. Meijers A. 11. Oehlers A. 2. Payne D. 6. Plat A. 30. Samson Y. (G) 40. van Cruijsen R. 9. Veerman H. 22. Vlak D. (G)
Coaches
den Uil R.	Kruys R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Pauwels B. ⚽, Bacuna J. (A),
38', 1 - 1, Yah G. (Own goal),
43', Verschuren N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Muhren R. ↓, Veerman H. ↑,
62', Hansson E. ↓, Wlodarczyk S. ↑,
62', Meissen R. ↓, Bronkhorst I. ↑,
69', Naujoks N. ↓, Carlen A. ↑,
71', Pauwels B. ↓, Oehlers A. ↑,
72', Descotte A. ↓, Kuwas B. ↑,
72', Ould-Chikh B. ↓, van Cruijsen R. ↑,
75', Yegoian I. 🟨,
78', Veerman H. 🟨,
80', Bacuna J. ↓, Plat A. ↑,
80', Plat A. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 3.

Excelsior has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Volendam's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Excelsior may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Excelsior is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Excelsior: Henderikx S. (Inactive) Jonathans M. (Knee Injury) Tielemans M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Volendam: Bukala N. (Yellow Cards) Esajas S. (Inactive) Kwakman D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Volendam: van Oevelen K. (Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:25. (average 2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Excelsior won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.6:1.3).

Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now

FC Volendam: 3.76%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15:9	6	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Excelsior Rotterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
02.05.26	Groningen - Excelsior	2:3 ✺
26.04.26	Excelsior - Utrecht	5:0 ✺
12.04.26	Zwolle - Excelsior	2:2 ✺
04.04.26	Excelsior - NEC Nijmegen	0:2 ✺
20.03.26	Heracles Almelo - Excelsior	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WWTLT
- FC Volendam
Dutch Eredivisie
03.05.26	Volendam - Heerenveen	0:2 ✺
26.04.26	Heracles Almelo - Volendam	0:2 ✺
10.04.26	Twente - Volendam	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Volendam - Feyenoord	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Sparta Rotterdam - Volendam	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
20.09.25	Volendam - Excelsior	1:2
Dutch Eerste Divisie
20.04.25	Volendam - Excelsior	1:4
13.12.24	Excelsior - Volendam	0:0
Dutch Eredivisie
12.04.24	Excelsior - Volendam	4:0
29.10.23	Volendam - Excelsior	3:1
28.05.23	Volendam - Excelsior	3:2
20.01.23	Excelsior - Volendam	2:0

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