Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 32

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Kras Stadion (Volendam)

Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
Kenya	Gotv
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 1
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN


	Volendam		Heerenveen

	1	X	2
	3.5	4.1	1.91	Watch
	3.5	3.9	1.95
	3.45	4.1	1.92
	3.41	4.05	2.06
	3.29	4.07	1.99	Watch
	3.25	3.7	1.95
	3.52	4.06	1.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↑ (3.16)	4 ↓ (4.06)	1.96 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volendam
27.8%

Draw
23.8%

Heerenveen
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

23.3%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

22.8%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volendam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Heerenveen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volendam than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	18.2%	72.7%

Volendam - Heerenveen Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Volendam will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Heerenveen will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heerenveen: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Heerenveen (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. van Oevelen K. (G) 5. Ugwu P. 3. Amevor M. 20. Verschuren N. 32. Leliendal Y. 4. Bacuna J. 18. Bukala N. 77. Ould-Chikh B. 7. Kokcu O. 99. Descotte A. 9. Veerman H. (C)	22. Klaverboer B. (G) 45. Braude O. 4. Kersten S. 3. Willemsen M. 19. Zagaritis V. 16. Linday M. 6. van Overeem J. (C) 20. Trenskow J. 10. Meerveld R. 11. Oyen L. 9. Vente D.
Substitutes
25. Blondeau L. 17. Ideho J. 10. Kuwas B. 14. Meijers A. 21. Muhren R. 11. Oehlers A. 29. Pauwels B. 2. Payne D. 6. Plat A. 16. Steur R. (G) 40. van Cruijsen R. 8. Yah G.	35. Ahmed I. 31. Bakker N. (G) 23. Bekkema J. (G) 8. Brouwers L. 36. Courtens N. 15. Egbring M. 50. Gurbuz E. 38. Mulder I. 18. Nordas L. 28. Petrov H.
Coaches
Kruys R.	Veldman R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Ugwu P. 🟨,
8', 0 - 1, Oyen L. ⚽, Zagaritis V. (A),
11', Bacuna J. 🟨,
40', Bukala N. 🟨,
41', van Overeem J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Kokcu O. ↓, Kuwas B. ↑,
51', Bukala N. ↓, Yah G. ↑,
52', Veerman H. ↓, Muhren R. ↑,
61', van Oevelen K. ↓, Steur R. ↑,
65', Oyen L. ↓, Brouwers L. ↑,
72', Bacuna J. ↓, Oehlers A. ↑,
76', Meerveld R. ↓, Nordas L. ↑,
78', Zagaritis V. ↓, Petrov H. ↑,
80', Brouwers L. 🟨,
86', 0 - 2, Vente D. ⚽, Trenskow J. (A),
90+1', Vente D. ↓, Courtens N. ↑,
90+7', Nordas L. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Volendam won 1.

Volendam is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Heerenveen is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Heerenveen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Heerenveen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Volendam: Esajas S. (Inactive) Kwakman D. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Heerenveen: Noppert A. (Inactive) Smans L. (Knee Injury) van Axel Dongen A. (Illness)

There are questionable in Volendam: Yah G. (Injury)

There are questionable in Heerenveen: Rivera M. (Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Volendam won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 1.3:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Volendam won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.5:3.5).

Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now

FC Volendam: 3.76%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Heerenveen	8	2	3	3	11:11	0	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Volendam
Dutch Eredivisie
26.04.26	Heracles Almelo - Volendam	0:2 ✺
10.04.26	Twente - Volendam	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Volendam - Feyenoord	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Sparta Rotterdam - Volendam	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Volendam - Fortuna Sittard	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLTLL
- SC Heerenveen
Dutch Eredivisie
25.04.26	Heerenveen - Fortuna Sittard	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	AZ Alkmaar - Heerenveen	3:0 ✺
05.04.26	Heerenveen - Heracles Almelo	4:1 ✺
22.03.26	NEC Nijmegen - Heerenveen	2:2 ✺
14.03.26	Heerenveen - Telstar	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
09.08.25	Heerenveen - Volendam	1:1
25.02.24	Volendam - Heerenveen	0:4
16.12.23	Heerenveen - Volendam	1:2
08.04.23	Heerenveen - Volendam	2:1
Dutch KNVB Beker
11.01.23	Heerenveen - Volendam	2:0
Dutch Eredivisie
23.10.22	Volendam - Heerenveen	1:3
Club Friendly
13.07.19	Heerenveen - Volendam	1:4

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