Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 17

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Racecourse Ground (Wrexham)

Referee: Martin S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+


	Wrexham		Exeter City

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.7	4	Watch
	1.82	3.5	4.1
	1.8	3.75	4.2	Watch
	1.84	3.87	4.3
	1.8	3.7	4.17	Watch
	1.83	3.5	4.4
	1.82	3.72	4.28	Watch
	1.8	3.75	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.75)	3.69 ↓ (3.77)	4.21 ↓ (4.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wrexham
51.9%

Draw
25.6%

Exeter City
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

25%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

26.4%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Wrexham - Exeter City Predictions

Users Predictions: Wrexham will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Burton C. (G) 4. Cleworth M. 5. O'Connell E. 3. Brunt L. 29. Barnett R. 20. Rathbone O. 15. Dobson G. 37. James M. 7. McClean J. (C) 9. Palmer O. 38. Lee E.	1. Whitworth J. (G) 26. Sweeney P. (C) 4. Crama T. 3. Purrington B. 2. McMillan J. 14. Niskanen I. 8. Francis E. 17. Watts C. 20. Doyle K. 27. Magennis J. 10. Aitchison J.
Substitutes
28. Bodvarsson J. 22. Faal M. 21. Howard M. (G) 10. Mullin P. 6. O'Connor T. 23. Revan S. 24. Scarr D.	11. Alli M. 31. Bird J. 19. Cox S. 5. Fitzwater J. 37. MacDonald S. (G) 28. McDonald K. 7. Mitchell D.
Coaches
Parkinson P.	Caldwell G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', Rathbone O. 🟨,
7', 1 - 0, Cleworth M. ⚽, Lee E. (A),
25', 2 - 0, Palmer O. ⚽, Barnett R. (A),
40', Watts C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Purrington B. ↓, Cox S. ↑,
51', Aitchison J. 🟨,
59', Watts C. ↓, Mitchell D. ↑,
70', Lee E. ↓, Mullin P. ↑,
72', 3 - 0, Rathbone O. ⚽,
77', Aitchison J. ↓, Bird J. ↑,
77', Doyle K. ↓, McDonald K. ↑,
79', Palmer O. ↓, Bodvarsson J. ↑,
79', Rathbone O. ↓, O'Connor T. ↑,
85', Magennis J. ↓, Harper V. ↑,
90+3', James M. ↓, Revan S. ↑,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 9).

Wrexham is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Exeter is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Wrexham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Wrexham have a series of guest games.

In this match Wrexham is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wrexham AFC
English League One
16.11.24	Stockport County - Wrexham	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
12.11.24	Port Vale - Wrexham	2:1 penalties ✺
English League One
09.11.24	Wrexham - Mansfield Town	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
03.11.24	Harrogate Town - Wrexham	1:0 ✺
English League One
26.10.24	Charlton Athletic - Wrexham	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWLT
- Exeter City
English League One
16.11.24	Exeter City - Lincoln City	0:0 ✺
09.11.24	Exeter City - Charlton Athletic	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
02.11.24	Exeter City - Barnet	5:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
29.10.24	Bristol Rovers - Exeter City	2:3 ✺
English League One
26.10.24	Huddersfield Town - Exeter City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWWWL

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