Match Info

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 4

Date: 5 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Monumental Virgen de Chapi (Arequipa)

Referee: Ureta D. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Fanatiz
Peru	Liga 1 Play, Nativa
Usa	Fanatiz


	FBC Melgar		Juan Pablo II College

	1	X	2
	1.2	5.5	15	Watch
	1.21	5.75	10.5	Watch
	1.21	6.3	12.5	Watch
	1.19	6.37	14.77
	1.24	5.47	12.96	Watch
	1.22	5.5	12
	1.24	6	13.9	Watch
	1.21	6	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 (1.22)	5.86 ↑ (5.5)	12.95 ↑ (11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FBC Melgar
76.9%

Draw
15.9%

Juan Pablo II College
7.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75%

16.6%

8.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Juan Pablo II College has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

FBC Melgar - Juan Pablo II College Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Melgar will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Juan Pablo II will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Melgar (1.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Melgar (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1, 1st Half - Melgar (3.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Melgar (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Caceda C. (G) 33. Lazo M. 2. Barrios P. 6. Gonzalez L. 13. Llontop M. 15. Orzan H. 28. Arias A. 7. Bordacahar C. 10. Martinez T. 14. Vidales J. 9. Cuesta B.	23. Vega M. (G) 31. Toledo J. 5. Peralta M. 25. Alfani R. 26. Agurto F. 14. Fernandez F. 6. Flores C. 21. Vega J. 37. Rojas A. 10. Tizon C. 9. Villar E.
Substitutes
25. Barreda M. 21. Cabezudo J. (G) 5. Deneumostier A. 8. Guzman L. 17. Liza P. 18. Quagliata N. 4. Ramos E. 19. Rodriguez G. 24. Tandazo W.	39. Affonso M. 11. Aliaga R. 16. Canova J. 7. Fernandez R. 12. Quispe I. (G) 32. Ramirez C. 3. Sanchez A. 30. Soto J.
Coaches
Balta V.	Acasiete S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Martinez T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', 1 - 1, Rojas A. ⚽, Villar E. (A),
58', Arias A. ↓, Tandazo W. ↑,
59', Bordacahar C. ↓, Guzman L. ↑,
60', Guzman L. 🟨,
66', Fernandez F. ↓, Canova J. ↑,
67', Tandazo W. 🟨,
76', Vidales J. ↓, Liza P. ↑,
76', Martinez T. ↓, Quagliata N. ↑,
78', Tizon C. ↓, Fernandez R. ↑,
78', Vega J. ↓, Ramirez C. ↑,
78', Villar E. ↓, Affonso M. ↑,
90+7', Liza P. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Melgar has had a series of away games.

In this match, Melgar is the undisputed favorite.

There are questionable in Melgar: Vidales J. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Melgar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1
01.08.25	Alianza Atlético - FBC Melgar	0:0 ✺
27.07.25	FBC Melgar - Cusco	0:2 ✺
19.07.25	Cajamarca - FBC Melgar	1:2 ✺
12.07.25	Escuela Municipal Binacional - FBC Melgar	1:1 ✺
02.07.25	Juan Pablo II College - FBC Melgar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLWTT
- Juan Pablo II College FC
Peruvian Liga 1
31.07.25	Juan Pablo II College - Alianza Lima	1:2 ✺
25.07.25	Sport Huancayo - Juan Pablo II College	5:1 ✺
20.07.25	Juan Pablo II College - Sport Boys	3:0 ✺
13.07.25	Juan Pablo II College - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	1:0 ✺
06.07.25	Atlético Grau - Juan Pablo II College	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
02.07.25	Juan Pablo II College - FBC Melgar	1:1

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