Match Info

Date: 6 July 2022, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Monumental Virgen de Chapi (Arequipa)

Referee: Tello F. (Arg)


	FBC Melgar		Deportivo Cali

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.75	5	Watch
	1.72	3.5	4.8
	1.65	3.5	5.2
	1.7	3.5	4.9
	1.71	3.58	5.43
	1.7	3.3	4.75	Watch
	1.71	3.65	5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.74)	3.54 ↑ (3.4)	5.01 ↑ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FBC Melgar
55%

Draw
26.4%

Deportivo Cali
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

26.8%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

25.8%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Deportivo Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cali than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74.4%	18.6%	7%

FBC Melgar - Deportivo Cali Predictions

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Melgar will win (votes: 32 - 74.4%). Deportivo Cali will win (votes: 3 - 7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 18.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Melgar: 61.4% – 87.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.

Melgar is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Deportivo Cali is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Melgar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Melgar is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Melgar to win the game is with odds 1.69.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Melgar won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1
03.07.22	Alianza Atlético - FBC Melgar	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
29.06.22	Deportivo Cali - FBC Melgar	0:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
24.06.22	FBC Melgar - Atlético Grau	1:0 ✺
19.06.22	Sport Boys - FBC Melgar	0:1 ✺
29.05.22	FBC Melgar - Universitario de Deportes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TTWWW
- Deportivo Cali
Copa Sudamericana
29.06.22	Deportivo Cali - FBC Melgar	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
26.05.22	Boca Juniors - Deportivo Cali	1:0 ✺
19.05.22	Deportivo Cali - Always Ready	3:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
15.05.22	Patriotas - Deportivo Cali	3:0 ✺
Colombian Copa
12.05.22	Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo Cali	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
29.06.22	Deportivo Cali - FBC Melgar	0:0

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