Match Info

Date: 18 February 2020, Tuesday


	FBC Melgar		Nacional Potosí

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.75	6	Watch
	1.48	3.9	6
	1.47	4.1	5.8	Watch
	1.47	4.13	6.41
	1.49	4.32	6.31
	1.44	4.2	7.5
	1.43	4.1	6.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.83)	4.07 ↑ (3.47)	6.32 ↑ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FBC Melgar
62.9%

Draw
22.6%

Nacional Potosí
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

26.3%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9%

20.2%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in FBC Melgar's performance.

Nacional Potosí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nacional Potosí might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
96.9%	0%	3.1%

FBC Melgar - Nacional Potosí Predictions

Users Predictions: FBC Melgar will win (62 of 64 users predict this - 96.88%).
Confidence interval (95%): 92.62% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1
16.02.20	FBC Melgar - Sporting Cristal	1:0 ✺
08.02.20	Escuela Municipal Binacional - FBC Melgar	2:4 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
04.02.20	Nacional Potosí - FBC Melgar	0:2 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
31.01.20	FBC Melgar - Universitario de Deportes	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
23.01.20	Cienciano - FBC Melgar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WWWLT
- Nacional Potosí
Bolivian Division Profesional
15.02.20	Guabirá - Nacional Potosí	1:0 ✺
12.02.20	San Jose Earthquakes - Nacional Potosí	1:1 ✺
08.02.20	Nacional Potosí - Royal Pari	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
04.02.20	Nacional Potosí - FBC Melgar	0:2 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
01.02.20	Bolívar - Nacional Potosí	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
04.02.20	Nacional Potosí - FBC Melgar	0:2

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