Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO PARANAENSE - PLAY OFFS - FINAL

Date: 1 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Estádio Olímpico Regional Arnaldo Busatto (Cascavel)

Referee: Toski M. R. (Bra)


	FC Cascavel		Athletico Paranaense

	1	X	2
	6.5	3.8	1.44
	6.5	3.7	1.44
	5.8	3.65	1.44	Watch
	6.3	3.89	1.48
	6.5	3.8	1.44
	6.35	4.1	1.46
	6.4	3.9	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.34 ↑ (5.61)	3.83 ↑ (3.79)	1.45 ↓ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Cascavel
14.2%

Draw
23.5%

Athletico Paranaense
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.2%

24%

59.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16%

23.7%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Cascavel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Cascavel than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

FC Cascavel - Athletico Paranaense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

1st leg.

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Paranaense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Paranaense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches FC Cascavel won 2.

FC Cascavel is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Athletico PR in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Athletico PR is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches FC Cascavel won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-20.

Including matches at home between the teams FC Cascavel won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cascavel
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
25.03.23	Operário Ferroviario - FC Cascavel	1:1 penalties ✺
19.03.23	FC Cascavel - Operário Ferroviario	2:1 ✺
11.03.23	Coritiba - FC Cascavel	0:0 ✺
05.03.23	FC Cascavel - Coritiba	3:1 ✺
26.02.23	FC Cascavel - Foz do Iguaçu	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.5 WWTWW
- Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
26.03.23	Athletico Paranaense - Maringá	1:0 ✺
18.03.23	Maringá - Athletico Paranaense	0:2 ✺
12.03.23	Athletico Paranaense - São-Joseense	4:0 ✺
04.03.23	São-Joseense - Athletico Paranaense	2:5 ✺
26.02.23	Londrina - Athletico Paranaense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
16.02.23	Athletico Paranaense - FC Cascavel	1:0
06.03.22	FC Cascavel - Athletico Paranaense	3:4
08.09.21	FC Cascavel - Athletico Paranaense	2:1
01.09.21	Athletico Paranaense - FC Cascavel	1:1
04.04.21	FC Cascavel - Athletico Paranaense	2:1
29.07.20	FC Cascavel - Athletico Paranaense	0:0
26.07.20	Athletico Paranaense - FC Cascavel	5:1

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