Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO PARANAENSE - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 4 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Estádio Municipal Cilmar Pedro Goergen (São José dos Pinhais)


	São-Joseense		Athletico Paranaense

	1	X	2
	6.5	3.6	1.45
	6.75	3.7	1.43
	6.5	3.8	1.42
	7.88	4.16	1.4
	7.5	3.7	1.42
	7.6	4.25	1.39	Watch
	6.8	3.9	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.08 ↑ (6.33)	3.87 ↑ (3.69)	1.42 ↓ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São-Joseense
12.8%

Draw
23.4%

Athletico Paranaense
63.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.4%

24.6%

61%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14%

23.9%

62.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São-Joseense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São-Joseense than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-1%)

São Joseense - Athletico Paranaense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Paranaense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Paranaense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent matches São-Joseense is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Athletico PR in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Athletico PR is certain favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches São-Joseense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams São-Joseense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independente Futebol São-Joseense
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
26.02.23	Maringá - São-Joseense	3:1 ✺
16.02.23	São-Joseense - Rio Branco PR	2:0 ✺
12.02.23	Coritiba - São-Joseense	0:0 ✺
08.02.23	São-Joseense - Aruko Sports	1:1 ✺
05.02.23	São-Joseense - Londrina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWTTW
- Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
26.02.23	Londrina - Athletico Paranaense	0:1 ✺
16.02.23	Athletico Paranaense - FC Cascavel	1:0 ✺
11.02.23	Athletico Paranaense - Operário Ferroviario	3:1 ✺
08.02.23	Cianorte - Athletico Paranaense	0:1 ✺
05.02.23	Athletico Paranaense - Coritiba	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
28.01.23	São-Joseense - Athletico Paranaense	2:3
29.01.22	Athletico Paranaense - São-Joseense	0:0

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