The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Excelsior 63.8%
Draw 21.2%
Helmond Sport 15.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69.1%
18.7%
12.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.9%
18.1%
12.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Excelsior's form might have worsened.
Helmond Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Excelsior - Helmond Sport Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Excelsior will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Raatsie C. (G) 2. Bronkhorst I. 5. Widell C. (C) 3. Pierie K. 12. Zagre A. 8. Tielemans M. 24. Eijgenraam J. 7. Fini S. 30. Sanches Fernandes D. 29. van Duinen M. 9. Omorowa R.
1. van der Steen W. (G) 41. Dekkers S. 4. Halhal R. 5. Scholz J. (C) 17. Van Hove B. 22. Dizdarevic A. 10. Golliard T. 32. Essakkati T. 47. Doudah M. 39. van den Hurk A. 11. Daneels L.
Substitutes
33. Bergraaf J. 21. Donkor J. 10. Duijvestijn L. 38. Kuiper P. (G) 17. Martens N. 16. Mattheij J. 28. Middendorp S. 14. Rosario R. 4. Warmerdam D.
23. Aben K. (G) 27. Absalem A. 7. Bisselink S. 21. Hendriks T. (G) 19. Ingason H. 8. Ostrc E. 2. Pachonik T. 52. Van Himbeeck A. 33. Zonneveld L.
Coaches
den Uil R.
Maaskant R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Tielemans M. 🟨,
16', Dekkers S. 🟨,
35', Eijgenraam J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 0 - 1, van den Hurk A. ⚽, Golliard T. (A),
60', van Duinen M. ↓, Rosario R. ↑,
60', Tielemans M. ↓, Duijvestijn L. ↑,
75', Dekkers S. ↓, Pachonik T. ↑,
75', Dizdarevic A. ↓, Van Himbeeck A. ↑,
77', Eijgenraam J. ↓, Bergraaf J. ↑,
77', Fini S. ↓, Donkor J. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Omorowa R. ⚽, Donkor J. (A),
84', Golliard T. ↓, Ostrc E. ↑,
89', Essakkati T. ↓, Bisselink S. ↑,
90+4', Daneels L. 🟨,
Preview
Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 10).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 3.
Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
Helmond Sport could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Excelsior is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 31:17 (average 2.2:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Excelsior won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16:9 (average 2.3:1.3).