The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Excelsior 63.1%
Draw 21.4%
Den Bosch 15.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.9%
21.4%
16.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.2%
16.7%
21.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
Den Bosch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (-14.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Excelsior that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Den Bosch than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Den Bosch could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.7%
0%
14.3%
Excelsior - Den Bosch Predictions
Users Predictions:
Excelsior will win
(12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Raatsie C. (C) 2. Bronkhorst I. 5. Widell C. 4. Warmerdam D. 12. Zagre A. 8. Tielemans M. 24. Eijgenraam J. 21. Donkor J. 10. Duijvestijn L. 7. Fini S. 9. Omorowa R.
36. van de Merbel P. (G) 24. Maas S. 3. van den Bogert V. 5. Henderikx S. 14. de Groot N. 6. Soomets M. 33. Laros M. 17. Burgering B. 10. van Leeuwen T. 16. Monzialo K. 22. Gravenberch D.
Substitutes
33. Bergraaf J. 11. Booth Z. 31. Cairo G. 32. de Moes S. 23. Hatenboer C. 38. Kuiper P. (G) 17. Martens N. 14. Rosario R. 30. Sanches Fernandes D. 29. van Duinen M.
20. Acheffay H. 1. Bakker M. (G) 31. Bijlsma T. (G) 40. Boumassaoudi I. 29. el Bakkali Z. 19. Jonathans D. 34. Keijser Y. 21. Kuijpers D. 8. van Hedel R.
Coaches
den Uil R.
Landvreugd U.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
32', 1 - 0, Fini S. ⚽, Eijgenraam J. (A),
41', 1 - 1, Gravenberch D. ⚽, Burgering B. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', Eijgenraam J. 🟨,
60', Fini S. ↓, Sanches Fernandes D. ↑,
60', Omorowa R. ↓, Bergraaf J. ↑,
66', Monzialo K. 🟨,
73', Warmerdam D. ↓, van Duinen M. ↑,
73', Tielemans M. ↓, Hatenboer C. ↑,
74', Gravenberch D. ↓, Kuijpers D. ↑,
77', 2 - 1, van Duinen M. ⚽,
80', van Duinen M. 🟨,
83', Soomets M. ↓, van Hedel R. ↑,
88', Donkor J. ↓, Booth Z. ↑,
88', van Leeuwen T. ↓, Acheffay H. ↑,
88', Maas S. ↓, Boumassaoudi I. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 1, Sanches Fernandes D. ⚽, Duijvestijn L. (A),
Preview
During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 4.
Recent matches Excelsior is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Den Bosch has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
In this match Excelsior is a favorite.
There will not play in Excelsior: Blomme X.
(Injury)
Hartjes L.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Den Bosch: Karlsson Grach S.
(Injury)
Last 16 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 41:27 (average 2.6:1.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Excelsior won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 21:11 (average 3.5:1.8).
Finland
Netherlands
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Raatsie C. (C) 
Widell C. 
Zagre A. 
Donkor J. 
Fini S. 
Soomets M. 
Monzialo K. 
Gravenberch D. 
Booth Z. 
Rosario R. 
Boumassaoudi I. 
Jonathans D. 
