Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EERSTE DIVISIE - ROUND 24

Date: 2 February 2024, Friday

Location: Matchoholic Stadion (Dordrecht)

Referee: Martens L. (Bel)


	Dordrecht		Groningen

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.75	1.83
	3.75	3.75	1.78
	3.75	4	1.85	Watch
	3.85	3.9	1.86
	4.12	3.89	1.87
	3.7	3.9	1.75
	4.06	4.1	1.74	Watch
	3.75	3.7	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.9 ↑ (2.5)	3.87 ↑ (3.45)	1.81 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dordrecht
24%

Draw
24.2%

Groningen
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

26.6%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

26.3%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dordrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dordrecht's form might have worsened.

Groningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Groningen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dordrecht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (-14.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Groningen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	12.5%	79.2%

Dordrecht - Groningen Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Dordrecht will win (votes: 2 - 8.3%). Groningen will win (votes: 19 - 79.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Groningen: 63% – 95.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Plogmann L. (G) 14. Bronkhorst I. 15. Kluivert R. 3. van den Avert J. 5. Hilton J. 6. Receveur T. 22. Zand S. 7. Mbayo D. 20. Suray M. 40. Sebaoui I. 9. Kriwak R.	21. Jurjus H. (G) 5. Rente M. 20. Blokzijl T. 43. Peersman M. 50. Prins W. 14. Schreuders J. 4. Pelupessy J. 7. Hove J. 40. Valente L. 25. van Bergen T. 29. Postema R.
Substitutes
63. Biai C. (G) 28. Brito E. 31. Doornbusch T. (G) 17. Osundina K. 16. Segecic A. 2. Seydoux L. 21. Shein R. R. 24. Smolarczyk B. 12. van Gogh R. 26. van Vianen D.	15. Bakker N. 45. Baron D. (G) 26. Beukers D. 47. de Jonge T. 22. Emeran N. 17. Lien K. 18. Maatta I. 36. Mariani M. 44. Meijster J. (G) 27. Mendes R. 38. Slor K. 42. Turay F.
Coaches
Santoni M.	Lukkien D.

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Dordrecht is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Groningen is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Groningen is a favorite.

There are questionable in Dordrecht: Camara B. (Knee Injury) Reemst B. (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Dordrecht won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Dordrecht won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dordrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
29.01.24	Jong Ajax - Dordrecht	2:2 ✺
22.01.24	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Dordrecht	5:1 ✺
12.01.24	Dordrecht - Helmond Sport	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
08.01.24	Dordrecht - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:4 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
23.12.23	Dordrecht - Emmen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TLWLW
- FC Groningen
Dutch Eerste Divisie
26.01.24	Groningen - Jong AZ Alkmaar	4:1 ✺
22.01.24	Jong Ajax - Groningen	0:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
16.01.24	Excelsior - Groningen	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
06.01.24	Bochum - Groningen	2:1 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
22.12.23	Groningen - Jong Utrecht	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
05.11.23	Groningen - Dordrecht	2:2
Dutch KNVB Beker
19.10.22	Dordrecht - Groningen	0:3
Dutch Eredivisie
08.03.15	Groningen - Dordrecht	2:0
20.12.14	Dordrecht - Groningen	1:1

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