Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EERSTE DIVISIE - ROUND 23

Date: 26 January 2024, Friday

Location: Euroborg (Groningen)

Referee: Blank E. (Ned)


	Groningen		Jong AZ Alkmaar

	1	X	2
	1.33	6.5	7	Watch
	1.3	5.25	8
	1.35	5	8
	1.32	5.3	9.19
	1.35	5.47	8.88
	1.29	5	8
	1.31	5.35	8.65	Watch
	1.29	5.2	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.5)	5.38 ↑ (4.45)	8.17 ↑ (5.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Groningen
71.1%

Draw
17.4%

Jong AZ Alkmaar
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

20.8%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

20.5%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Groningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Groningen's performance.

Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jong AZ Alkmaar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Groningen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jong AZ Alkmaar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Groningen - Jong AZ Alkmaar Predictions

Users Predictions: Groningen will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Jurjus H. (G) 43. Peersman M. 5. Rente M. 20. Blokzijl T. 50. Prins W. 14. Schreuders J. 4. Pelupessy J. 7. Hove J. 40. Valente L. 25. van Bergen T. 29. Postema R.	1. Zeggen K. (G) 2. Esteves G. 3. Stam F. 4. Schouten L. 5. Dekkers S. 6. Kwakman D. 8. Smit K. 7. Kewal R. 10. Meerdink M. (C) 11. Daal R. 9. Poku E.
Substitutes
15. Bakker N. 45. Baron D. (G) 26. Beukers D. 47. de Jonge T. 22. Emeran N. 17. Lien K. 18. Maatta I. 36. Mariani M. 44. Meijster J. (G) 27. Mendes R. 38. Slor K. 42. Turay F.	. Berkhout J. 14. Engel M. . Gerold J. 16. Kabba A. (G) 20. Kerssens T. . Koster N. 18. Mastoras E. 17. Postma L. 21. Reverson D. 12. van Aken J.
Coaches
Lukkien D.	Echteld L.

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ) and 11).

Groningen is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Jong AZ is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Groningen have a series of guest games.

In this match Groningen is certain favorite.

There are questionable in Jong AZ: Lahdo M. (Knee Injury) Twisk N. (Knee Injury) Verhulst H. (Injury) Westerveld S. (Knee Injury)

Our prediction for today's Groningen to win the game is with odds 1.32.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Groningen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Groningen
Dutch Eerste Divisie
22.01.24	Jong Ajax - Groningen	0:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
16.01.24	Excelsior - Groningen	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
06.01.24	Bochum - Groningen	2:1 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
22.12.23	Groningen - Jong Utrecht	2:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
19.12.23	Willem II - Groningen	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WWLWW
- Jong AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eerste Divisie
22.01.24	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Dordrecht	5:1 ✺
12.01.24	Telstar - Jong AZ Alkmaar	1:1 ✺
23.12.23	Jong AZ Alkmaar - ADO Den Haag	1:2 ✺
15.12.23	Cambuur - Jong AZ Alkmaar	1:2 ✺
11.12.23	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Den Bosch	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
27.11.23	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Groningen	0:5

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