Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie - Round 9

Date: 4 October 2024, Friday

Location: Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch (Utrecht)

Referee: Hardeman T. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Netherlands	ESPN Extra


	Jong Utrecht		Telstar

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.6	2.1	Watch
	3.25	3.4	2
	3.3	3.6	2.1	Watch
	3.49	3.61	2.11
	3.4	3.5	2.06	Watch
	3.2	3.5	2
	3.36	3.6	2.04	Watch
	3.3	3.6	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (3.17)	3.55 ↓ (3.68)	2.06 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jong Utrecht
28.2%

Draw
26.4%

Telstar
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

25.7%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

25.3%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jong Utrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Telstar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Utrecht than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	22.2%	77.8%

Jong Utrecht - Telstar Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Telstar will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Telstar: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. de Graaff T. (G) 2. Van Hees R. 3. Kooy W. (C) 14. Mukeh J. 5. Held N. 8. Jenner I. 6. Andersen S. 7. Rohd E. 10. el Arguioui R. 11. Blake A. 9. Descotte A.	1. Koeman R. (G) 4. Offerhaus G. 3. Apau M. (C) 21. Koswal D. 2. Hardeveld J. 17. Rossen N. 11. Noslin T. 6. Bakker D. 8. Turfkruier J. 9. El Kachati Y. 10. Eddahchouri Z.
Substitutes
17. Akkerman M. 19. Charalampoglou G. . den Boggende T. . Dithmer A. (G) 15. Driezen M. 18. Dris S. . Dundas N. 21. Edhart L. . Ghaddari M. 16. van der Wegen S. . van Riel J. . Viereck N.	25. Benzzine A. 28. Bodak T. (G) 5. Dirks S. 19. Hagedoorn S. 7. Hamdaoui M. 23. Hetli S. 20. Houweling J. (G) 14. Kaandorp M. 15. Lechkar A. 18. van Ekeris R. 26. van Schooneveld J.
Coaches
van Dinteren I.	Correia A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', Turfkruier J. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Eddahchouri Z. ⚽, Rossen N. (A),
42', El Kachati Y. 🟨,
45', Koswal D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', El Kachati Y. ↓, Hetli S. ↑,
67', Jenner I. ↓, van der Wegen S. ↑,
67', Rohd E. ↓, van Riel J. ↑,
71', Held N. ↓, Akkerman M. ↑,
75', Mukeh J. 🟨,
78', Blake A. ↓, Edhart L. ↑,
83', Noslin T. ↓, Hamdaoui M. ↑,
83', Hardeveld J. ↓, Lechkar A. ↑,
86', Akkerman M. 🟨,
86', Hetli S. 🟨,
87', Mukeh J. ↓, Dris S. ↑,
90+4', Eddahchouri Z. ↓, Hagedoorn S. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 1, van der Wegen S. ⚽, Akkerman M. (A),

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Jong Utrecht won 1.

Jong Utrecht has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Telstar is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Telstar will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Jong Utrecht: Andersen S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Jong Utrecht: Gadellaa K. (Knee Injury)

Last 15 head-to-head matches Jong Utrecht won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 16:24 (average 1.1:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Jong Utrecht won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:6 (average 0.9:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jong Utrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
27.09.24	ADO Den Haag - Jong Utrecht	1:1 ✺
23.09.24	Jong Utrecht - Cambuur	0:4 ✺
16.09.24	Jong Utrecht - Den Bosch	0:3 ✺
13.09.24	VVV-Venlo - Jong Utrecht	3:2 ✺
30.08.24	Jong Utrecht - Emmen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLLLL
- SC Telstar
Dutch Eerste Divisie
28.09.24	Telstar - Den Bosch	0:0 ✺
20.09.24	ADO Den Haag - Telstar	1:1 ✺
13.09.24	Excelsior - Telstar	3:2 ✺
08.09.24	Telstar - MVV Maastricht	4:0 ✺
30.08.24	Telstar - Jong AZ Alkmaar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
29.03.24	Telstar - Jong Utrecht	5:1
04.12.23	Jong Utrecht - Telstar	0:0
13.02.23	Jong Utrecht - Telstar	0:1
30.09.22	Telstar - Jong Utrecht	2:2
29.04.22	Telstar - Jong Utrecht	1:3
27.08.21	Jong Utrecht - Telstar	3:0
02.04.21	Telstar - Jong Utrecht	2:3

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