Match Info

K League 1 - Round 31

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Seoul World Cup Stadium (Seoul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Laola1
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Laola1
Russia	TV Start
South-korea	Coupang Play
World	K League TV


	FC Seoul		Jeju

	1	X	2
	1.50	4.33	5.25	Watch
	1.55	4.20	5.50
	1.55	3.75	4.75
	1.55	4.45	6.07
	1.57	4.18	5.3	Watch
	1.52	4.40	6.00
	1.55	4.48	5.43	Watch
	1.53	4.20	5.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.61)	4.25 ↑ (4.03)	5.46 ↑ (4.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Seoul
60.8%

Draw
22%

Jeju
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

23.2%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

23.3%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Seoul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Jeju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Seoul than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jeju than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

FC Seoul - Jeju Predictions

Users Predictions: FC Seoul will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Gu Sung-Yun (G) 16. Choi Jun 5. Al Arab Y. 37. Ros J. 22. Kim Jin-Su (C) 7. Jeong Seung-Won 8. Lee Seung-Mo 6. Babec H. 10. Anderson Oliveira 27. Moon Seon-Min 9. Klimala P.	1. Kim Dong-Jun (G) 17. Yu In-Soo 2. Figueiredo T. 3. Celestine J. 13. Jeong Woon (C) 40. Kim Ryun-sung 5. Italo 20. Jang M. 33. Park Su-bin 18. Kim Shin-Jin 94. Emerson Negueba
Substitutes
26. Baek Jong-beom (G) 19. Cheon Seong-Hoon 99. Gbato S. 41. Hwang Do-Yun 14. Jeong Hyeon-Woo 20. Lee Han-Do 4. Lee Sang-Min 66. Park Soo-Il 42. Son J.	24. Choi Byung-wook 22. Cinari E. 81. Heo J. (G) 41. Kim Jae-Woo 6. Kwon Gi-min 8. Lee Chang-Min 10. Lee G. 7. Park Chang-Jun 47. Park Min-jae
Coaches
Kim Gi-Dong	Costa S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Kim Jin-Su 🟨,
39', Lee Seung-Mo ↓, Son J. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Kim Shin-Jin ↓, Kwon Gi-min ↑,
46', Italo ↓, Lee G. ↑,
46', 1 - 0, Moon Seon-Min ⚽, Choi Jun (A),
61', Jeong Woon ↓, Choi Byung-wook ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Lee G. ⚽, Kim Ryun-sung (A),
79', 2 - 1, Klimala P. ⚽, Moon Seon-Min (A),
80', Anderson Oliveira ↓, Jeong Hyeon-Woo ↑,
82', Son J. 🟨,
83', Jang M. ↓, Lee Chang-Min ↑,
84', Moon Seon-Min ↓, Hwang Do-Yun ↑,
84', Figueiredo T. 🟨,
85', Celestine J. ↓, Park Chang-Jun ↑,

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 1st in the Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group: ) and 4th in the Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seoul won 1.

Seoul has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Jeju is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Seoul carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Seoul has recorded 6 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:29 (averaging 1.3:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Seoul against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 9:10 goals (averaging 1.1:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Seoul	31	20	5	6	58:26	32	65
4	Jeju SK	31	12	10	9	36:31	5	46

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Seoul
South Korean K-League 1
20.09.26	Pohang Steelers - FC Seoul	2:1 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
16.09.26	FC Seoul - Persib Bandung	0:1 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
12.09.26	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - FC Seoul	1:2 ✺
08.09.26	Ulsan HD - FC Seoul	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	FC Seoul - Incheon United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWLW
- Jeju SK
South Korean K-League 1
20.09.26	Gangwon - Jeju	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Bucheon - Jeju	2:2 ✺
09.09.26	Gwangju - Jeju	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Jeju - Ulsan HD	0:0 ✺
30.08.26	Jeju - Daejeon Citizen	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
09.05.26	Jeju - FC Seoul	2:1
15.03.26	Jeju - FC Seoul	1:2
23.07.25	Jeju - FC Seoul	3:2
31.05.25	FC Seoul - Jeju	1:3
15.02.25	Jeju - FC Seoul	2:0
16.08.24	FC Seoul - Jeju	1:0
06.07.24	Jeju - FC Seoul	3:2

FC Seoul - Jeju: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide