The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shimizu S-Pulse 31.9%
Draw 28.8%
Nagoya Grampus 39.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.1%
28.5%
38.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.6%
29%
37.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Nagoya Grampus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
42.9%
42.9%
Shimizu S Pulse - Nagoya Grampus Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Shimizu will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Nagoya will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Umeda T. (G) 14. Park Seung-Wook 51. Sumiyoshi J. 25. Brunetti M. 5. Kitazume K. 6. Uno Z. (C) 10. Matheus Bueno 97. Ohata R. 50. Stephens A. 47. Shimamoto Y. 9. Oh Se-Hun
1. Schmidt D. (G) 70. Hara T. 13. Fujii H. 31. Takamine T. 9. Asano Y. 15. Inagaki S. (C) 14. Morishima T. 27. Nakayama K. 7. Izumi R. 22. Kimura Y. 11. Yamagishi Y.
Substitutes
23. Chiba K. 4. Hasukawa S. 39. Hidaka H. 81. Kozuka K. 11. Nakahara H. 1. Oki Y. (G) 28. Yoshida Y. 33. Yuji D. 17. Yumiba M.
33. Kikuchi T. 19. Koda H. 20. Mikuni K. 44. Mori S. 2. Nogami Y. 41. Ono M. 35. Pisano A. (G) 30. Sugiura S. 17. Uchida T.
Coaches
Yoshida T.
Petrovic M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Kimura Y. ⚽, Hara T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Stephens A. ↓, Kozuka K. ↑,
46', Ohata R. ↓, Yoshida Y. ↑,
57', Izumi R. ↓, Koda H. ↑,
57', Yamagishi Y. ↓, Sugiura S. ↑,
63', Shimamoto Y. ↓, Chiba K. ↑,
75', Morishima T. ↓, Ono M. ↑,
75', Asano Y. ↓, Mikuni K. ↑,
76', Kitazume K. ↓, Yuji D. ↑,
83', Hara T. ↓, Nogami Y. ↑,
83', Uno Z. ↓, Yumiba M. ↑,
88', 0 - 2, Sugiura S. ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Shimizu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Shimizu has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Nagoya: Koyamatsu T.
(Knee Injury)
Marcus Vinicius
(Broken Leg)
There are questionable in Shimizu: Brunetti M.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Nagoya: Mateus
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:33. (average 1.2:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Shimizu won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:22. (average 1.1:2).
Outrights of Japan J1 League for now
Nagoya Grampus: 0.78% Shimizu S-Pulse: 0.65%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Nagoya Grampus
4
2
0
2
6:5
1
6
16
Shimizu S-Pulse
4
1
0
3
1:3
-2
3
Last Results with these Odds
Nagoya Grampus - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 38.37%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.