Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 14

Date: 6 May 2024, Monday

Location: City Light Stadium (Okayama)

Referee: Nobori K. (Jpn)


	Fagiano Okayama		Tokushima Vortis

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.5	4.75	Watch
	1.65	3.4	4.6
	1.72	3.5	4.75	Watch
	1.74	3.7	5.04
	1.67	3.4	4.6
	1.72	3.5	4.74	Watch
	1.72	3.5	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.68)	3.5 ↓ (3.61)	4.74 ↓ (5.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Fagiano Okayama
54.1%

Draw
26.4%

Tokushima Vortis
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

25.9%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

25.6%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Tokushima Vortis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokushima Vortis than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Fagiano Okayama - Tokushima Vortis Predictions

Users Predictions: Fagiano Okayama will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Brodersen S. (G) 4. Abe K. 5. Yanagi Y. 15. Motoyama H. 16. Kawano R. 44. Semba T. 6. Wakasa Y. 17. Sueyoshi R. 27. Kimura T. 10. Tanaka Y. 99. Lucao	1. Suarez J. (G) 4. Kaique 5. Mori K. 26. Aoki H. 20. Kodama S. 18. Elsinho 15. Tanahashi A. 10. Sugimoto T. 22. Yanagisawa K. 7. Tiago Alves 16. Watari D.
Substitutes
24. Fujita I. 1. Hotta D. (G) 19. Iwabuchi H. 29. Saito K. 18. Tagami D. 42. Takahashi R. 88. Yanagi T.	9. Browne N. 42. Hashimoto K. 8. Kakitani Y. 54. Nagaki R. 17. Takada S. 2. Tamukai T. 21. Tanaka H. (G)
Coaches
Kiyama T.	Masuda K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', Sueyoshi R. 🟨,
36', Sugimoto T. 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Watari D. ⚽,
45+4', 1 - 1, Motoyama H. ⚽, Lucao (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Yanagisawa K. ↓, Hashimoto K. ↑,
49', 1 - 2, Watari D. ⚽, Sugimoto T. (A),
56', Sueyoshi R. ↓, Yanagi T. ↑,
56', Tanaka Y. ↓, Iwabuchi H. ↑,
62', Tanahashi A. ↓, Nagaki R. ↑,
64', Nagaki R. 🟨,
65', Motoyama H. ↓, Takahashi R. ↑,
65', Kawano R. ↓, Fujita I. ↑,
69', Tiago Alves ↓, Browne N. ↑,
71', Elsinho 🟨,
76', Sugimoto T. ↓, Takada S. ↑,
76', Watari D. ↓, Kakitani Y. ↑,
76', Lucao ↓, Saito K. ↑,
82', Kakitani Y. 🟨,
89', Kimura T. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Okayama won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Tokushima could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Okayama is a favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Okayama won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 23-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Okayama won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fagiano Okayama
Japan J2 League
03.05.24	Montedio Yamagata - Fagiano Okayama	2:2 ✺
28.04.24	Fagiano Okayama - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
24.04.24	Fagiano Okayama - Yokohama FC	3:4 penalties ✺
Japan J2 League
20.04.24	Fagiano Okayama - Roasso Kumamoto	2:0 ✺
14.04.24	Blaublitz Akita - Fagiano Okayama	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLLWT
- Tokushima Vortis
Japan J2 League
03.05.24	Tokushima Vortis - Ehime	0:0 ✺
28.04.24	Tokushima Vortis - Montedio Yamagata	2:1 ✺
20.04.24	Fujieda MYFC - Tokushima Vortis	0:1 ✺
13.04.24	V-Varen Nagasaki - Tokushima Vortis	6:1 ✺
07.04.24	Tokushima Vortis - JEF United Chiba	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
09.07.23	Tokushima Vortis - Fagiano Okayama	1:1
03.06.23	Fagiano Okayama - Tokushima Vortis	2:0
14.09.22	Tokushima Vortis - Fagiano Okayama	1:0
27.02.22	Fagiano Okayama - Tokushima Vortis	1:1
14.10.20	Fagiano Okayama - Tokushima Vortis	1:1
19.08.20	Tokushima Vortis - Fagiano Okayama	0:0
13.10.19	Tokushima Vortis - Fagiano Okayama	2:1

Upcoming Matches