The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kyoto Sanga 45%
Draw 26.9%
V-Varen Nagasaki 28.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49%
26.2%
24.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.6%
27.1%
24.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
V-Varen Nagasaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kyoto Sanga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (-4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
70%
10%
20%
Kyoto Sanga - V Varen Nagasaki Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Kyoto will win (votes: 7 - 70%). V-Varen Nagasaki will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%). Confidence interval (95%) for Kyoto: 41.6% – 98.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ota G. (G) 22. Sugai H. 5. Appiah Tawiah H. 50. Suzuki Y. (C) 44. Sato K. 48. Nakano R. 25. Yoon S. 18. Matsuda T. 7. Okugawa M. 9. Rafael Elias 77. Arai H.
1. Goto M. (G) 22. Onaga H. 25. Kushibiki K. 4. Dudu Giusti 3. Sekiguchi M. 5. Yamaguchi H. (C) 21. Diego Pituca 23. Yoneda S. 10. Matheus Jesus 41. Hasegawa M. 9. Thiago
Substitutes
3. Asada S. 19. David 10. Fukuoka S. 16. Hiraoka T. 99. Honda F. 40. Ishida Y. 21. Kakoi K. (G) 93. Nagasawa S. 17. Souza Alex
11. Campbell N. 6. Egawa Y. 13. Hatano G. (G) 33. Kasayanagi T. 34. Matsumoto T. 19. Sawada T. 17. Takahata K. 48. Teruyama H. 18. Yamasaki R.
Coaches
Jo Gwi-Jae
Takagi T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Thiago 🟨,
28', Arai H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 1 - 0, Rafael Elias ⚽, Okugawa M. (A),
65', Sekiguchi M. ↓, Kasayanagi T. ↑,
75', Yamaguchi H. ↓, Campbell N. ↑,
76', Matsuda T. ↓, Hiraoka T. ↑,
84', Appiah Tawiah H. 🟨,
85', Okugawa M. ↓, Honda F. ↑,
85', Diego Pituca ↓, Matsumoto T. ↑,
85', Thiago ↓, Yamasaki R. ↑,
85', Yoneda S. ↓, Takahata K. ↑,
89', Nakano R. ↓, Nagasawa S. ↑,
89', Arai H. ↓, Asada S. ↑,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 2.
Kyoto is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
V-Varen Nagasaki has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
V-Varen Nagasaki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Kyoto might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Kyoto: Fukuoka S.
(Knee Injury)
Henrique Trevisan
(Yellow Cards)
Joao Pedro
(Yellow Cards)
Marco Tulio
(Injury)
There will not play in V-Varen Nagasaki: Emerson Deocleciano
(Knee Injury)
Iwasaki Y.
(Injury)
Nagura T.
(Illness)
There are questionable in V-Varen Nagasaki: Dudu Giusti
(Injury)
We predict that V-Varen Nagasaki will win today's game, with odds of 3.8.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 0.8:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Kyoto won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 0.9:0.9).
China
Japan
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Ota G. (G) 
Yoon S. 
Rafael Elias 
Campbell N. 
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