Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 28

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Kolos Stadium (Kovalivka)


	Feniks-Mariupol		Probiy Horodenka

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.45	4.85
	1.69	3.49	4.8	Watch
	1.63	3.47	5.03
	1.63	3.31	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.63)	3.43 ↑ (3.31)	4.85 ↑ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Feniks-Mariupol
54.8%

Draw
26.5%

Probiy Horodenka
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

26.8%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

26.2%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Feniks-Mariupol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Probiy Horodenka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Feniks-Mariupol than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Probiy Horodenka than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Feniks Mariupol - Probiy Horodenka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Zadereyko A. (G) 4. Balaba N. 5. Chornomorets O. 2. Gagun R. 77. Kovalyuk R. 27. Kucherov V. 8. Kukharuk A. 9. Kyslenko S. 29. Remenyak A. 33. Sydorenko V. (C) 96. Synytsya O.	25. Kovalenko M. A. (G) 18. Bliznichenko A. 31. Borysevych R. (C) 98. Fesenko A. 22. Gavrylyuk N. 21. Girnyi M. 9. Kalyn V. 15. Kharuk R. 17. Khromey M. 5. Savchyn V. 19. Tkachenko R.
Substitutes
90. Bogdanov A. 25. Gorin V. 14. Grytsak N. 84. Kusyi A. 66. Melnyk O. 12. Oryshchak S. (G) 16. Radchenko M. 15. Revakovych R. 21. Tkachuk A. 1. Zhupanskyi V. (G)	12. Barabanov V. (G) 23. Drekalo A. 8. Drygan B. 30. Felipovych V. 6. Ivanychuk V. 29. Pilhanchuk D. 7. Sikach M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 9).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Probiy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Feniks-Mariupol is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Feniks-Mariupol won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Fenix Mariupol	10	4	3	3	12:11	1	15
16	Probiy Horodenka	10	1	2	7	8:27	-19	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Feniks-Mariupol
Ukrainian Persha Liga
09.05.26	Nyva Ternopil - Feniks-Mariupol	0:3 ✺
01.05.26	Feniks-Mariupol - Ahrobiznes Volochysk	4:0 ✺
25.04.26	Metalist Kharkiv - Feniks-Mariupol	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Feniks-Mariupol - Inhulets	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Feniks-Mariupol	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWTTL
- Probiy Horodenka
Ukrainian Persha Liga
10.05.26	Probiy Horodenka - Ahrobiznes Volochysk	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	Inhulets - Probiy Horodenka	3:1 ✺
25.04.26	Probiy Horodenka - Metalurh Zaporizhya	3:1 ✺
18.04.26	Chornomorets Odesa - Probiy Horodenka	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Probiy Horodenka - UCSA	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
25.10.25	Probiy Horodenka - Feniks-Mariupol	0:0

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