Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 34

Date: 15 October 2023, Sunday


	Ferro Carril Oeste		Aldosivi

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	4	Watch
	1.98	3.25	3.4
	2	3.25	3.6	Watch
	2.06	3.25	3.97
	2	3.3	3.5
	2.05	3.34	3.64
	2.04	3.2	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.82)	3.24 ↓ (3.31)	3.67 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferro Carril Oeste
45.9%

Draw
28.8%

Aldosivi
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

27.7%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

27.2%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferro Carril Oeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Aldosivi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferro Carril Oeste, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Ferro Carril Oeste - Aldosivi Predictions

Users Predictions: Ferro Carril Oeste will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mino M. (G) 4. Grana H. 2. Faggioli L. 6. Boolsen P. 3. Romero N. 8. Palacio P. 5. Machado W. 11. Retamar K. 9. Herrera J. 7. Diaz A. 10. Keko	1. Ingolotti L. (G) 4. Gonzalez A. 2. Iniguez E. 6. Guanini M. 3. Paredes G. 8. Turraca G. 5. Morello M. 7. Indacoechea J. 10. Olivares J. 9. Riano C. 11. Torres E.
Substitutes
19. Colombini I. 16. Erbes C. 15. Fernandez Pinto J. 20. Nunez W. 18. Olmedo L. 17. Vazquez K. A.	. Callegari S. 20. Curuchet F. . Escobar I. . Guerra Brian 17. Lucero R. 15. Maciel E. 18. Panaro M. 14. Pereyra F.
Coaches
Cordon J. L.	Charlier M.

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 16).

Ferro Carril is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ferro Carril won 2.

Recent matches Ferro Carril is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aldosivi is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Aldosivi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ferro Carril will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Ferro Carril won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Ferro Carril won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferro Carril Oeste
Argentinian Primera Nacional
08.10.23	Deportivo Riestra - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:1 ✺
30.09.23	Ferro Carril Oeste - Racing de Córdoba	3:1 ✺
24.09.23	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:1 ✺
18.09.23	Ferro Carril Oeste - Tristán Suárez	2:1 ✺
10.09.23	Chacarita Juniors - Ferro Carril Oeste	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWTWL
- CA Aldosivi
Argentinian Primera Nacional
08.10.23	Aldosivi - Deportivo Maipú	1:1 ✺
02.10.23	Deportivo Riestra - Aldosivi	3:0 ✺
24.09.23	Aldosivi - Villa Dálmine	1:1 ✺
17.09.23	Racing de Córdoba - Aldosivi	2:0 ✺
10.09.23	Aldosivi - Deportivo Madryn	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.06.23	Aldosivi - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:2
01.12.17	Ferro Carril Oeste - Aldosivi	0:2
11.11.14	Aldosivi - Ferro Carril Oeste	2:1
13.09.14	Ferro Carril Oeste - Aldosivi	0:1
15.02.14	Ferro Carril Oeste - Aldosivi	2:1
13.08.13	Aldosivi - Ferro Carril Oeste	0:1
20.04.13	Ferro Carril Oeste - Aldosivi	0:1

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