Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 41

Date: 26 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal da Malata (Ferrol)

Referee: Fuentes Molina A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6
France	beIN Sports Max
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Ferrol		Leganés

	1	X	2
	3	3	2.55	Watch
	2.87	2.87	2.45
	3	2.95	2.5	Watch
	3.11	3	2.68
	3.12	3	2.64
	2.6	3	2.75
	2.95	3.05	2.58	Watch
	2.95	2.95	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.67)	2.98 ↑ (2.95)	2.59 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ferrol
31.9%

Draw
31.6%

Leganés
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

31.9%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Leganés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	44.4%	44.4%

Ferrol - Leganés Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Ferrol will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Leganés will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 41.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leganés: 23.4% – 70.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Cantero A. (G) 24. Cubero S. 4. Garcia H. J. 5. Clemente E. 18. Martinez B. 10. Sene J. 6. Bernal J. 3. Oscar Pinchi 7. Pena H. 22. Losada I. 20. Gimenez A.	13. Alcoado D. J. C. (G) 21. Miramon 3. Saenz J. 6. Gonzalez S. (C) 15. Franquesa E. 17. Neyou Y. 14. Brasanac D. 7. Portillo F. 32. Cisse S. 9. de la Fuente M. 19. Garcia D.
Substitutes
12. Alex Martin 2. Delmas J. 13. Emilio (G) 1. Gazzaniga G. (G) 9. Justo M. 8. Lopez A. 16. Manzanara F. 21. Moi 11. Nacho 19. Sabin	36. Alvin (G) 22. Arambarri A. 11. Cruz J. 23. Djouahra N. 1. Jimenez D. (G) 42. Koke 5. Lopez B. 2. Nyom A. 8. Perea L. 10. Raba D. 20. Undabarrena I. 28. Urena O.
Coaches
Parralo C.	Jimenez B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, de la Fuente M. ⚽, Brasanac D. (A),
45+1', 1 - 1, Gimenez A. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
64', Pena H. ↓, Nacho ↑,
65', Garcia D. ↓, Cruz J. ↑,
73', Brasanac D. 🟨,
75', Brasanac D. ↓, Undabarrena I. ↑,
75', Portillo F. ↓, Raba D. ↑,
78', Oscar Pinchi ↓, Sabin ↑,
80', 1 - 2, Cruz J. ⚽, Miramon (A),
85', de la Fuente M. ↓, Nyom A. ↑,
86', Gimenez A. ↓, Justo M. ↑,
86', Bernal J. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
90+2', Nyom A. 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 2, Justo M. (Pen),

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).

Ferrol is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Leganés is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Leganés could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ferrol won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Ferrol won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish LaLiga2
19.05.24	Zaragoza - Ferrol	2:2 ✺
11.05.24	Ferrol - Alcorcón	2:1 ✺
05.05.24	Tenerife - Ferrol	2:0 ✺
29.04.24	Ferrol - Mirandés	0:2 ✺
20.04.24	Villarreal B - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWLLL
- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga2
18.05.24	Leganés - Sporting de Gijón	2:1 ✺
12.05.24	Albacete Balompié - Leganés	1:0 ✺
05.05.24	Eldense - Leganés	1:2 ✺
27.04.24	Leganés - Zaragoza	1:1 ✺
19.04.24	Tenerife - Leganés	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa del Rey
07.12.23	Ferrol - Leganés	1:0
Spanish LaLiga2
26.11.23	Leganés - Ferrol	2:2

Upcoming Matches