Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 2 October 2025, Thursday

Location: De Kuip (Rotterdam)

Referee: Obrenovic R. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Feyenoord		Aston Villa

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.6	2
	3.5	3.6	2.1
	3.58	3.55	2.12
	3.08	3.46	2.23	Watch
	3.47	3.57	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↑ (3.44)	3.56 ↑ (3.43)	2.12 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Feyenoord
27.8%

Draw
27%

Aston Villa
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

28.1%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

28.6%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Feyenoord has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Feyenoord than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.5%	32.4%	54.1%

Feyenoord - Aston Villa Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Feyenoord will win (votes: 5 - 13.9%). Aston Villa will win (votes: 19 - 52.8%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 36.5% – 69.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Feyenoord (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Aston Villa (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Feyenoord (1.76) (votes: 2 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Feyenoord (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Feyenoord (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Aston Villa (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Wellenreuther T. (G) 26. Read G. 21. Ahmedhodzic A. 4. Watanabe T. 5. Smal G. 40. Valente L. 14. Steijn S. (C) 6. Hwang In-Beom 23. Hadj Moussa A. 9. Ueda A. 16. Sauer L.	23. Martinez E. (G) 2. Cash M. 4. Konsa E. 14. Torres P. 22. Maatsen I. 27. Rogers M. 44. Kamara B. 7. McGinn J. (C) 29. Guessand E. 11. Watkins O. 10. Buendia E.
Substitutes
1. Bijlow J. (G) 11. Borges G. 15. Bos J. 39. Bossin L. (G) 27. Diarra G. 10. Larin C. 30. Lotomba J. 2. Nieuwkoop B. 43. Plug J. 32. Sliti A. 28. Targhalline O. 17. Tengstedt C.	40. Bizot M. (G) 26. Bogarde L. 62. Broggio B. 83. Burrowes B. 12. Digne L. 9. Elliott H. 20. Jimoh-Aloba J. 3. Lindelof V. 17. Malen D. 52. Proctor S. (G)
Coaches
van Persie R.	Emery U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Ahmedhodzic A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Hwang In-Beom ↓, Targhalline O. ↑,
49', Steijn S. 🟨,
61', 0 - 1, Buendia E. ⚽, Kamara B. (A),
71', Buendia E. ↓, Malen D. ↑,
71', Watkins O. ↓, Bogarde L. ↑,
71', Read G. ↓, Nieuwkoop B. ↑,
71', Sauer L. ↓, Sliti A. ↑,
75', Steijn S. ↓, Larin C. ↑,
77', Maatsen I. ↓, Digne L. ↑,
79', 0 - 2, McGinn J. ⚽,
81', Emery U. 🟨,
82', Bizot M. 🟨,
85', Larin C. 🟨,
85', Rogers M. 🟨,
86', McGinn J. ↓, Elliott H. ↑,
86', Cash M. ↓, Lindelof V. ↑,
86', Valente L. ↓, Bos J. ↑,
90+3', Lindelof V. 🟨,

Preview

Feyenoord is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Aston Villa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Feyenoord may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Aston Villa could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Feyenoord: Beelen T. (Broken Leg) Jeng M. (Leg Injury) Moder J. (Knock) Timber Q. (Leg Injury) Trauner G. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Aston Villa: Barkley R. (Lacking Match Fitness) Onana A. (Hamstring Injury) Tielemans Y. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Aston Villa: Mings T. (Injury)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Feyenoord
Dutch Eredivisie
28.09.25	Groningen - Feyenoord	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.09.25	Braga - Feyenoord	1:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
21.09.25	AZ Alkmaar - Feyenoord	3:3 ✺
17.09.25	Feyenoord - Fortuna Sittard	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Feyenoord - Heerenveen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLTWW
- Aston Villa
English Premier League
28.09.25	Aston Villa - Fulham	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.09.25	Aston Villa - Bologna	1:0 ✺
English Premier League
21.09.25	Sunderland - Aston Villa	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
16.09.25	Brentford - Aston Villa	2:1 penalties ✺
English Premier League
13.09.25	Everton - Aston Villa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWTLT

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