Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 15 February 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: De Kuip (Rotterdam) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Petrescu R. M. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Austria	18:45	Sky Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	19:45	Max Sport 3
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport
Czech Republic	18:45	Sport 2
Denmark	18:45	TV2 Sport X
Finland	19:45	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Hungary	18:45	RTL3
Netherlands	18:45	ESPN
Norway	18:45	Viaplay
Poland	18:45	Viaplay
Portugal	17:45	Sport TV2
Serbia	18:45	Arena Sport
Sweden	18:45	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
United Kingdom	17:45	TNT Sports


	Feyenoord		Roma

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.3	2.9
	2.3	3.4	3.1
	2.35	3.5	3.1	Watch
	2.44	3.45	2.97
	2.46	3.38	3.02
	2.2	3.4	3.1
	2.31	3.6	3.29
	2.25	3.35	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.01)	3.42 ↓ (3.55)	3.1 ↓ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Feyenoord
41%

Draw
28.1%

Roma
31%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.4%

26.8%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

27.3%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Feyenoord has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Feyenoord's form might have worsened.

Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roma's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Feyenoord than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Feyenoord, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	22.2%	22.2%

Feyenoord - Roma Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Feyenoord will win (votes: 20 - 55.6%). Roma will win (votes: 8 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Feyenoord: 39.4% – 71.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Wellenreuther T. (G) 2. Nieuwkoop B. 3. Beelen T. 33. Hancko D. (C) 5. Hartman Q. 10. Stengs C. 6. Zerrouki R. 20. Wieffer M. 19. Minteh Y. 9. Ueda A. 14. Paixao I.	99. Svilar M. (G) 2. Karsdorp R. 14. Llorente D. 23. Mancini G. 37. Spinazzola L. 52. Bove E. 16. Paredes L. 7. Pellegrini Lo. (C) 21. Dybala P. 90. Lukaku R. 59. Zalewski N.
Substitutes
29. Gimenez S. 17. Ivanusec L. 31. Lamprou K. (G) 32. Lingr O. 15. Lopez M. 27. Milambo A. 26. Read G. 25. Sauer L. 39. van Sas M. (G)	69. Angelino 22. Aouar H. 17. Azmoun S. 35. Baldanzi T. 63. Boer P. (G) 19. Celik Z. 67. Costa J. 4. Cristante B. 92. El Shaarawy S. 1. Patricio R. (G) 20. Sanches R. 6. Smalling C.
Coaches
Slot A.	De Rossi D.

Preview

1st leg.

Feyenoord in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Roma is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Roma could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Feyenoord have a series of home games.

Feyenoord will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Feyenoord: Bijlow J. (Shin Injury) Trauner G. (Muscle Injury) Zechiel G. (Knee Injury) van den Belt T. (Hip Injury)

There will not play in Roma: Abraham T. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Feyenoord: Geertruida L. (Illness) Timber Q. (Concussion)

There are questionable in Roma: Smalling C. (Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Feyenoord won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Feyenoord won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Feyenoord
Dutch Eredivisie
11.02.24	Feyenoord - Sparta Rotterdam	2:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
07.02.24	Feyenoord - AZ Alkmaar	2:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
04.02.24	AZ Alkmaar - Feyenoord	0:1 ✺
28.01.24	Feyenoord - Twente	0:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
24.01.24	Feyenoord - PSV Eindhoven	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWTW
- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
10.02.24	Roma - Inter Milan	2:4 ✺
05.02.24	Roma - Cagliari	4:0 ✺
29.01.24	Salernitana - Roma	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
24.01.24	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Roma	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
20.01.24	Roma - Verona	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
20.04.23	Roma - Feyenoord	4:1
13.04.23	Feyenoord - Roma	1:0
UEFA Europa Conference League
25.05.22	Roma - Feyenoord	1:0
UEFA Europa League
19.02.15	Roma - Feyenoord	1:1

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