Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 9 March 2023, Thursday

Location: Stadio Artemio Franchi (Florence)

Referee: Jorgji E. (Alb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Bulgaria	Ring
Croatia	Arena Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Italy	Sky Sport Football, Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Fiorentina		Sivasspor

	1	X	2
	1.22	6	15
	1.21	6.25	13
	1.21	6.4	14
	1.21	6.2	13
	1.21	6.69	15.9
	1.21	6.35	13.5
	1.24	6.4	14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.39)	6.33 ↑ (4.7)	14.06 ↑ (8.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Fiorentina
78.2%

Draw
15%

Sivasspor
6.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

20.1%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

77.4%

22.8%

10.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fiorentina's performance.

Sivasspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.3%	4.5%	18.2%

Fiorentina - Sivasspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 34 - 77.3%). Sivasspor will win (votes: 8 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 4.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 64.9% – 89.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Fiorentina was already of knockout phase, was already of round of 16, has a good chance of qtrs (92%), has a good chance of semis (64%), has a chance of final (41%), has a chance of win league (24%).

Sivasspor was already of knockout phase, was already of round of 16, has a small chance of qtrs (8%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 52, importance 59, match rating 56. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Fiorentina in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Sivasspor is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sivasspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Fiorentina is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Sivasspor: Osmanpasa C. (Knee Injury) Yalcin R. (Knee Injury) Yatabare M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Fiorentina: Terzic A. (Muscle Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fiorentina
Italian Serie A
04.03.23	Fiorentina - Milan	2:1 ✺
27.02.23	Verona - Fiorentina	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.02.23	Fiorentina - Braga	3:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
19.02.23	Fiorentina - Empoli	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
16.02.23	Braga - Fiorentina	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWTW
- Sivasspor
Turkish Super League
04.03.23	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Sivasspor	4:3 ✺
04.02.23	Sivasspor - Beşiktaş	1:0 ✺
31.01.23	Alanyaspor - Sivasspor	0:3 ✺
28.01.23	Sivasspor - Adana Demirspor	1:2 ✺
22.01.23	Gaziantep - Sivasspor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LWWLW

Upcoming Matches