The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fiorentina 61.8%
Draw 21.9%
Braga 16.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.8%
27.9%
22.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.9%
30.2%
20.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fiorentina's performance.
Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Braga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fiorentina that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
61%
12.2%
26.8%
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Predictions
Users Predictions:
41 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 25 - 61%). Braga will win (votes: 11 - 26.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 12.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 46.1% – 75.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Fiorentina has currently - 13, has not chance of 1st, was already of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd, was already of knockout phase, has a very good chance of round of 16 (>99%), has a good chance of qtrs (70%), has a chance of semis (47%), has a chance of final (29%), has a chance of win league (17%).
Braga has currently - , has not chance of 1st, has not chance of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd, was already of knockout phase, has a very small chance of round of 16 (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality67, very big importance100, big match rating83. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches Fiorentina is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Braga is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Braga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Braga have a series of home games.
In this match Fiorentina is a favorite.
There will not play in Fiorentina: Venuti L.
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Braga: Tormena
(Red Card)
There are questionable in Braga: Gorby
(Injury)
Last 1 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.
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