What is the expert prediction for Braga vs Fiorentina?

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Braga vs Fiorentina Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, February 16, 2023)

Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 16 February 2023, Thursday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Braga (Braga)

Referee: Jug M. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Italy	Sky Sport Football, Sky Sport
Netherlands	ESPN
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Xtra
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Braga		Fiorentina

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.4	2.9
	2.3	3.4	2.9
	2.4	3.3	2.95
	2.39	3.3	2.6
	2.45	3.38	3.05
	2.45	3.3	2.55
	2.29	3.5	2.99
	2.43	3.5	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.46)	3.39 ↓ (3.42)	2.86 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Braga
39.4%

Draw
27.7%

Fiorentina
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

27.3%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

27%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.4%	11.4%	2.3%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: Braga will win (38 of 44 users predict this - 86.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.22% – 96.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Braga has currently - , has not chance of 1st, has not chance of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd, was already of knockout phase, has a chance of round of 16 (45%), has a chance of qtrs (29%), has a chance of semis (18%), has a small chance of final (10%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).

Fiorentina has currently - 13, has not chance of 1st, was already of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd, was already of knockout phase, has a good chance of round of 16 (56%), has a chance of qtrs (38%), has a chance of semis (25%), has a small chance of final (15%), has a small chance of win league (8%).

This event has quality 67, very big importance 100, big match rating 84. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Braga is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Fiorentina is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Braga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Fiorentina: Brekalo J. (Injury) Sottil R. (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Braga: Gorby (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Braga
Liga Portugal
12.02.23	Marítimo - Braga	1:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
09.02.23	Braga - Benfica	2:1 penalties ✺
Liga Portugal
05.02.23	Braga - Famalicão	4:1 ✺
01.02.23	Sporting Lisbon - Braga	5:0 ✺
21.01.23	Paços de Ferreira - Braga	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWLW
- Fiorentina
Italian Serie A
12.02.23	Juventus - Fiorentina	1:0 ✺
05.02.23	Fiorentina - Bologna	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
01.02.23	Fiorentina - Torino	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
29.01.23	Lazio - Fiorentina	1:1 ✺
21.01.23	Fiorentina - Torino	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWTL

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