The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hearts 13.5%
Draw 21%
Fiorentina 65.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.7%
24.8%
56.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.4%
23.9%
54.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hearts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hearts's form might have worsened.
Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fiorentina's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hearts than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hearts, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-11.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fiorentina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10.8%
13.5%
75.7%
Hearts - Fiorentina Predictions
Users Predictions:
74 users predict this event. Hearts will win (votes: 8 - 10.8%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 56 - 75.7%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 13.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 65.9% – 85.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Hearts has currently - 3, has a very small chance of 1st (3%), has a chance of 2nd (21%), has a good chance of 3rd (56%), has a small chance of round of 16 (10%), has a very small chance of qtrs (3%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Fiorentina has currently - 1, has a small chance of 1st (13%), has a good chance of 2nd (60%), has a chance of 3rd (21%), has a good chance of round of 16 (54%), has a chance of qtrs (33%), has a chance of semis (19%), has a small chance of final (10%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).
This event has quality51, very big importance100, big match rating75. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches Hearts is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Fiorentina is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Fiorentina is indisputable favorite.
There will not play in Hearts: Baningime B.
(Knee Injury)
Boyce L.
(Knee Injury)
Rowles K.
(Injury)
There will not play in Fiorentina: Castrovilli G.
(Knee Injury)
Dodo
(Injury)
Ikone J.
(Red Card)
There are questionable in Hearts: Halkett C.
(Injury)
Australia
Bosnia-and-herzegovina
Croatia
Finland
Norway
Poland
Serbia
Sweden
United-kingdom
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