Match Info

Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/8-finals

Date: 31 July 2025, Thursday

Location: Maracanã (Rio de Janeiro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball


	Flamengo		Atlético Mineiro

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.4	6.25
	1.55	3.6	5.5
	1.65	3.25	5.9
	1.68	3.42	6.74
	1.90	3.08	4.56	Watch
	1.62	3.5	5.8
	1.68	3.4	6.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.45)	3.38 ↓ (4.43)	5.84 ↓ (6.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flamengo
56.1%

Draw
27.8%

Atlético Mineiro
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

21.2%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9%

20.4%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flamengo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Flamengo's form might have worsened.

Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Flamengo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Flamengo - Atlético Mineiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Flamengo will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Atlético MG (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Atlético MG (3.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético MG (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rossi A. (G) 2. Varela G. 3. Leo Ortiz 4. Leo Pereira (C) 17. Vina M. 52. Evertton Araujo 29. Allan 20. Matheus Goncalves 7. Luiz Araujo 9. Pedro 50. Plata G.	22. Everson (G) 26. Renzo Saravia 4. Lyanco 6. Alonso J. 25. Gabriel Menino 21. Franco A. 17. Igor Gomes 10. Gustavo Scarpa 33. Rony 7. Hulk (C) 28. Cuello
Substitutes
26. Alex Sandro 6. Ayrton Lucas 27. Bruno Henrique 33. Cleiton 22. Emerson Royal 61. Joao Victor 21. Jorginho 23. Juninho 16. Lino S. 25. Matheus Cunha (G) 8. Niguez S. 64. Wallace Yan	5. Alexsander 11. Bernard 77. Biel 38. Caio Paulista 92. Dudu 8. Fausto Vera 1. Gabriel Delfim (G) 16. Igor Rabello 37. Junior Santos 2. Natanael 23. Roman I. 14. Vitor Hugo
Coaches
Filipe Luis	Cuca

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Matheus Goncalves ↓, Lino S. ↑,
58', Vina M. ↓, Ayrton Lucas ↑,
58', Luiz Araujo ↓, Wallace Yan ↑,
66', 0 - 1, Cuello ⚽,
68', Rony ↓, Alexsander ↑,
72', Varela G. ↓, Emerson Royal ↑,
77', Hulk ↓, Junior Santos ↑,
77', Igor Gomes ↓, Fausto Vera ↑,
79', Plata G. ↓, Niguez S. ↑,
80', Renzo Saravia ↓, Igor Rabello ↑,
90', Wallace Yan 🟨,
90', Lyanco 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 4.

Flamengo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Atlético MG is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Atlético MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Atlético MG has had a series of away games.

In this match, Flamengo is the team to beat.

There will not play in Flamengo: Alex Sandro (Thigh Injury) Ayrton Lucas (Leg Injury) Danilo (Thigh Injury) Michael (Ankle Injury) Niguez S. (Leg Injury) Pulgar E. (Foot Injury) de la Cruz N. (Lacking Match Fitness)

There will not play in Atlético MG: Cadu (Knee Injury) Caio Maia (Knee Injury) Guilherme Arana (Muscle Injury) Patrick Silva (Broken tailbone) Rubens (Inactive)

There are questionable in Atlético MG: Gabriel Menino (Injury)

We predict that Flamengo will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:25. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Flamengo won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flamengo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
27.07.25	Flamengo - Atlético Mineiro	1:0 ✺
23.07.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Flamengo	1:2 ✺
20.07.25	Flamengo - Fluminense	1:0 ✺
16.07.25	Santos - Flamengo	1:0 ✺
12.07.25	Flamengo - São Paulo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWLW
- Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A
27.07.25	Flamengo - Atlético Mineiro	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
24.07.25	Atlético Mineiro - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Serie A
20.07.25	Palmeiras - Atlético Mineiro	3:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
17.07.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Atlético Mineiro	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
12.07.25	Bahia - Atlético Mineiro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
27.07.25	Flamengo - Atlético Mineiro	1:0
13.11.24	Flamengo - Atlético Mineiro	0:0
Copa do Brasil
10.11.24	Atlético Mineiro - Flamengo	0:1
03.11.24	Flamengo - Atlético Mineiro	3:1
Brazilian Serie A
03.07.24	Atlético Mineiro - Flamengo	2:4
29.11.23	Flamengo - Atlético Mineiro	0:3
29.07.23	Atlético Mineiro - Flamengo	1:2

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