The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Flamengo 79.8%
Draw 14.3%
Chapecoense 6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
75.1%
16.3%
8.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
23.3%
26.7%
Flamengo - Chapecoense Predictions
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Flamengo will win (votes: 15 - 50%). Chapecoense will win (votes: 8 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 23.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 32.1% โ 67.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
Flamengo has the most likely position - 1 (28.03%), has project points - 70, has currently - 12, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of win league (28%).
Chapecoense has the most likely position - 20 (29.72%), has project points - 33, has currently - 4, has a good chance of relegated (71%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Recent matches Flamengo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Chapecoense has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Flamengo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Flamengo is indisputable favorite.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Flamengo won 10 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 29-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Flamengo won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 19-4.