Match Info

Date: 30 June 2021, Wednesday


	Fortaleza		Chapecoense

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	7.5	Watch
	1.5	4	7
	1.46	3.85	6.5	Watch
	1.49	3.85	6.8
	1.52	4.21	7.02
	1.5	3.75	7	Watch
	1.52	4.1	6.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.63)	3.97 ↑ (3.58)	6.94 ↑ (5.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortaleza
62.7%

Draw
23.7%

Chapecoense
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

26.1%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.7%

21.5%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fortaleza's performance.

Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fortaleza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

The ML Model estimate for Chapecoense aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.3%	9.8%	22%

Fortaleza - Chapecoense Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 28 - 68.3%). Chapecoense will win (votes: 9 - 22%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 9.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortaleza: 54.1% – 82.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Fortaleza has the most likely position - 9 (7.25%), has project points - 54, has currently - 12, has a small chance of relegated (8%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Chapecoense has the most likely position - 20 (18.9%), has project points - 37, has currently - 4, has a good chance of relegated (56%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Fortaleza is indisputable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Fortaleza won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Fortaleza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortaleza EC
Brazilian Serie A
27.06.21	Grêmio - Fortaleza	0:0 ✺
23.06.21	Flamengo - Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
20.06.21	Fortaleza - Fluminense	1:1 ✺
17.06.21	Atlético Goianiense - Fortaleza	0:0 ✺
13.06.21	Fortaleza - Sport Recife	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TLTTW
- Chapecoense-SC
Brazilian Serie A
27.06.21	Athletico Paranaense - Chapecoense	2:2 ✺
24.06.21	Chapecoense - Internacional RS	1:2 ✺
21.06.21	Atlético Mineiro - Chapecoense	1:1 ✺
16.06.21	São Paulo - Chapecoense	1:1 ✺
13.06.21	Chapecoense - Ceará	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.6 TLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
09.10.19	Fortaleza - Chapecoense	2:0
19.05.19	Chapecoense - Fortaleza	1:3

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