Match Info

Date: 7 September 2022, Wednesday

Location: Maracanã (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Maza P. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Netherlands	ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Flamengo		Vélez Sársfield

	1	X	2
	1.28	5.75	9	Watch
	1.29	5.5	9.5
	1.29	5.75	10
	1.29	5.4	9.6
	1.29	6.01	10.38
	1.27	4.75	10	Watch
	1.28	5.5	10.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.39)	5.52 ↑ (4.45)	9.82 ↑ (6.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

Watch this match and Copa Libertadores with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS (Canada)

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Current Win Probability

Flamengo
73.3%

Draw
17.1%

Vélez Sársfield
9.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

20.5%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4%

19.1%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Flamengo's performance.

Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	8.3%	16.7%

Flamengo - Vélez Sársfield Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Flamengo will win (votes: 18 - 75%). Vélez will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 57.7% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

2nd leg.

Flamengo is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vélez is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Flamengo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Flamengo have a series of guest games.

In this match Flamengo is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Flamengo to win the game is with odds 1.3.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Flamengo won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Flamengo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flamengo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
04.09.22	Flamengo - Ceará	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
31.08.22	Vélez Sársfield - Flamengo	0:4 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
28.08.22	Botafogo RJ - Flamengo	0:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
24.08.22	São Paulo - Flamengo	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
21.08.22	Palmeiras - Flamengo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWWWT
- Vélez Sársfield
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.09.22	Vélez Sársfield - Newells Old Boys	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
31.08.22	Vélez Sársfield - Flamengo	0:4 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.08.22	Independiente - Vélez Sársfield	1:1 ✺
22.08.22	Vélez Sársfield - Sarmiento de Junín	1:1 ✺
18.08.22	Aldosivi - Vélez Sársfield	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
31.08.22	Vélez Sársfield - Flamengo	0:4
27.05.21	Flamengo - Vélez Sársfield	0:0
20.04.21	Vélez Sársfield - Flamengo	2:3

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