Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 13

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Maracanã (Rio de Janeiro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Caze TV, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol
Usa	Fanatiz


	Fluminense		Chapecoense

	1	X	2
	1.24	5.75	10	Watch
	1.24	5.4	11.5
	1.29	5.98	12.57
	1.26	5.77	12.08
	1.25	5	10
	1.26	5.99	11.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.36)	5.65 ↑ (4.36)	11.34 ↑ (8.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fluminense
75%

Draw
16.7%

Chapecoense
8.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

21.2%

10.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.2%

20.2%

10.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fluminense's performance.

Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Fluminense - Chapecoense Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Fluminense will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Chapecoense will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fluminense: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fluminense (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Fluminense (1.81) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Fluminense (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fabio (C) 23. Guga 3. Jemmes 22. Freytes J. 13. Guilherme Arana 35. Hercules 5. Bernal F. 17. Canobbio A. 11. Savarino J. 90. Serna K. 19. Castillo R.	98. Anderson (G) 25. Victor Caetano 15. Rafael Thyere 3. Eduardo Doma 2. Marcos Vinicius 27. Camilo Reijers (C) 22. Higor Meritao 37. Clar W. 20. Jean Carlos 31. Mauricio Garcez 7. Marcinho
Substitutes
25. Alisson 4. Ignacio 21. Igor Rabello 9. John Kennedy 27. Marcelo Pitaluga (G) 29. Millan J. 94. Otavio 10. PH Ganso 6. Rene 28. Riquelme Felipe 2. Samuel Xavier 7. Soteldo Y.	33. Bruno Leonardo 97. Enio 26. Everton 4. Joao Paulo 5. Joao Vitor 18. Neto Pessoa 99. Rafael Carvalheira 1. Rafael Santos (G) 70. Rubens Ricoldi 17. Vinicius Balieiro
Coaches
Zubeldia L.	Fabio Matias

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Marcos Vinicius ↓, Everton ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Serna K. ↓, Soteldo Y. ↑,
46', Clar W. ↓, Rafael Carvalheira ↑,
56', 1 - 0, Savarino J. (Penalty Awarded),
60', Jean Carlos 🟨,
70', Jean Carlos ↓, Enio ↑,
70', Higor Meritao ↓, Joao Vitor ↑,
71', Eduardo Doma 🟨,
78', 1 - 1, Enio ⚽, Marcinho (A),
79', Canobbio A. ↓, John Kennedy ↑,
79', Bernal F. ↓, PH Ganso ↑,
79', Hercules ↓, Alisson ↑,
81', Enio 🟨,
86', 2 - 1, John Kennedy ⚽, Alisson (A),
87', Rafael Thyere ↓, Neto Pessoa ↑,
90+3', Guga ↓, Ignacio ↑,
90+3', Joao Vitor 🟨,
90+5', Eduardo Doma 🟨,
90+6', PH Ganso 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 3.

Fluminense has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chapecoense is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Chapecoense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Fluminense is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Fluminense: Acosta L. (Knee Injury) Cano G. (Injury) Matheus Reis (Injury) Nonato (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Chapecoense: Giovanni Augusto (Injury) Robert Conceicao (Inactive)

There are questionable in Fluminense: Martinelli (Injury) Savarino J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Chapecoense: Bruno Matias (Knee Injury) Italo (Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:22. (average 1.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Fluminense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 2:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Fluminense	29	14	9	6	48:36	12	51
20	Chapecoense-SC	28	3	9	16	29:57	-28	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fluminense RJ
Copa do Brasil
23.04.26	Operário Ferroviario - Fluminense	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
19.04.26	Santos - Fluminense	2:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
15.04.26	Fluminense - Independiente Rivadavia	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
12.04.26	Fluminense - Flamengo	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
07.04.26	Deportivo La Guaira - Fluminense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TWLLT
- Chapecoense-SC
Copa do Brasil
21.04.26	Botafogo RJ - Chapecoense	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
18.04.26	Chapecoense - Botafogo RJ	1:4 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
15.04.26	Juventude - Chapecoense	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
12.04.26	Athletico Paranaense - Chapecoense	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
08.04.26	Chapecoense - Avaí	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
09.12.21	Fluminense - Chapecoense	3:0
07.09.21	Chapecoense - Fluminense	1:2
26.10.19	Fluminense - Chapecoense	1:1
13.06.19	Chapecoense - Fluminense	1:1
24.09.18	Chapecoense - Fluminense	1:2
26.05.18	Fluminense - Chapecoense	3:1
22.10.17	Chapecoense - Fluminense	2:0

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