Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 32

Date: 6 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Maracanã (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Daronco A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Flow Eventos
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Mexico	Fanatiz
North-central-america	Flow Sports 1 Caribbean
Paraguay	Flow Eventos
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Uruguay	Flow
Usa	Fanatiz


	Fluminense		Mirassol

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.25	4.75	Watch
	1.85	3.35	4.25
	1.92	3.42	4.63
	1.93	3.38	4.43	Watch
	1.9	3.3	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (1.93)	3.34 ↑ (3.29)	4.51 ↑ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Fluminense
50.4%

Draw
28.5%

Mirassol
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

28.6%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

31.1%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Fluminense - Mirassol Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH +1 - Mirassol (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Mirassol (3.34) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Mirassol (1.96) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Mirassol (5.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.25 - Fluminense (2.97) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fluminense will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Fluminense (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Mirassol (votes: 8 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fabio (G) 2. Samuel Xavier 3. Thiago Silva (C) 22. Freytes J. 6. Rene 8. Martinelli 35. Hercules 32. Acosta L. 90. Serna K. 9. Everaldo 17. Canobbio A.	22. Walter (G) 20. Daniel Borges 34. Joao Victor 3. Jemmes 6. Reinaldo 8. Danielzinho (C) 25. Neto Moura 41. Yago Felipe 11. Negueba 91. Chico 7. Shaylon
Substitutes
5. Bernal F. 23. Guga 99. John Kennedy 11. Keno 19. Lavega J. 45. Lima 27. Marcelo Pitaluga (G) 30. Moreno S. 16. Nonato 28. Riquelme Felipe 7. Soteldo Y. 29. Thiago Santos	77. Alesson 23. Alex Muralha (G) 96. Carlos Eduardo 17. Cristian Renato 16. Felipe Jonatan 44. Gabriel 27. Gabriel 12. Guilherme 21. Jose Aldo 19. Lucas Ramon 4. Luiz Otavio 5. Roni
Coaches
Zubeldia L.	Rafael Guanaes

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Daniel Borges 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Serna K. ⚽, Acosta L. (A),
45', Acosta L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Daniel Borges ↓, Lucas Ramon ↑,
46', Yago Felipe ↓, Gabriel ↑,
63', Martinelli 🟨,
64', Danielzinho ↓, Guilherme ↑,
64', Negueba ↓, Alesson ↑,
64', Rene 🟨,
72', Lucas Ramon 🟨,
77', Neto Moura ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
78', Martinelli ↓, Bernal F. ↑,
79', Everaldo ↓, John Kennedy ↑,
86', Acosta L. ↓, Nonato ↑,
86', Serna K. ↓, Keno ↑,
90+1', Keno 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).

In recent matches, Fluminense has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mirassol is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mirassol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Mirassol has had a series of home games.

In this match, Fluminense is the team to beat.

There will not play in Fluminense: Ignacio (Red Card) Manoel (Inactive) PH Ganso (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Mirassol: Da Silva (Injury) Edson Carioca (Muscle Injury) PH (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Mirassol: Lucas Ramon (Inactive) Matheus Sales (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fluminense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Fluminense - the odds 1.93 are the expected chance of winning is 48.64%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fluminense RJ
Brazilian Serie A
02.11.25	Ceará - Fluminense	2:0 ✺
29.10.25	Fluminense - Ceará	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Fluminense - Internacional RS	1:0 ✺
20.10.25	Vasco da Gama - Fluminense	2:0 ✺
16.10.25	Fluminense - Juventude	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWLW
- Mirassol
Brazilian Serie A
01.11.25	Mirassol - Botafogo RJ	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	Sport Recife - Mirassol	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Mirassol - São Paulo	3:0 ✺
15.10.25	Mirassol - Internacional RS	3:1 ✺
08.10.25	Mirassol - Fluminense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
08.10.25	Mirassol - Fluminense	2:1

Upcoming Matches