The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Forest Green Rovers 34.7%
Draw 28.7%
Charlton Athletic 36.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.2%
28.3%
42.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.3%
27.5%
43.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Forest Green Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Forest Green Rovers's performance.
Charlton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Charlton Athletic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Forest Green Rovers that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Charlton Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
28.6%
14.3%
57.1%
Forest Green Rovers - Charlton Athletic Predictions
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Forest Green will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). Charlton will win (votes: 12 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Charlton: 35.9% – 78.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 12).
Forest Green has the most likely position - 24 (72.37%), has project points - 34, has currently - 22, has a very good chance of relegated (98%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Charlton has the most likely position - 11 (13.94%), has project points - 62, has currently - 37, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality13, very small importance5, very small match rating9. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Forest Green has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Charlton is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Forest Green won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
Watch
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