Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 30

Date: 4 February 2023, Saturday

Location: The New Lawn (Nailsworth)

Referee: Toner B. (Eng)


	Forest Green Rovers		Peterborough United

	1	X	2
	4	3.6	1.85
	4	3.5	1.85
	4	3.7	1.9
	3.45	3.45	1.91
	4.27	3.75	1.87
	4	3.5	1.88
	4.1	3.66	1.85	Watch
	3.95	3.6	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.97 ↓ (4.1)	3.6 ↓ (3.65)	1.87 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forest Green Rovers
23.7%

Draw
26.1%

Peterborough United
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

25.7%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6%

25.4%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forest Green Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Peterborough United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Forest Green Rovers - Peterborough United Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Forest Green will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Peterborough will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Forest Green: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 7).

Forest Green has the most likely position - 24 (62.83%), has project points - 35, has currently - 21, has a good chance of relegated (95%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Peterborough has the most likely position - 7 (16.21%), has project points - 72, has currently - 41, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (28%), has a small chance of promoted (8%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 14, small importance 17, small match rating 16. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Forest Green has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Peterborough is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Forest Green could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Peterborough is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Forest Green won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forest Green Rovers
English League One
28.01.23	Shrewsbury Town - Forest Green Rovers	2:1 ✺
24.01.23	Bolton Wanderers - Forest Green Rovers	1:0 ✺
21.01.23	Forest Green Rovers - Milton Keynes Dons	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
17.01.23	Forest Green Rovers - Birmingham City	1:2 ✺
English League One
14.01.23	Exeter City - Forest Green Rovers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLLLT
- Peterborough United
English League One
28.01.23	Peterborough United - Portsmouth	2:1 ✺
16.01.23	Port Vale - Peterborough United	0:2 ✺
01.01.23	Peterborough United - Wycombe Wanderers	0:3 ✺
29.12.22	Peterborough United - Milton Keynes Dons	2:0 ✺
26.12.22	Charlton Athletic - Peterborough United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
11.10.22	Peterborough United - Forest Green Rovers	4:1

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