Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 26

Date: 24 January 2023, Tuesday

Location: University of Bolton Stadium (Bolton)

Referee: Nield T. (Eng)


	Bolton Wanderers		Forest Green Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.5	7.5
	1.44	4.33	7
	1.44	4.5	7
	1.42	4.3	7
	1.43	4.54	8.34
	1.44	4.2	7
	1.47	4.5	7.5	Watch
	1.43	4.4	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.42)	4.41 ↓ (4.56)	7.32 ↑ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bolton Wanderers
65.7%

Draw
21.4%

Forest Green Rovers
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

20.5%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6%

19.8%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bolton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Forest Green Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

The ML Model estimate for Forest Green Rovers aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.3%	4.3%	4.3%

Bolton Wanderers - Forest Green Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: Bolton Wanderers will win (21 of 23 users predict this - 91.3%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs) and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

Bolton has the most likely position - 5 (19.07%), has project points - 77, has currently - 44, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (58%), has a chance of promoted (18%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Forest Green has the most likely position - 24 (52.49%), has project points - 36, has currently - 21, has a good chance of relegated (94%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 15, small importance 24, small match rating 19. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Bolton is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Forest Green has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bolton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Forest Green have a series of home games.

In this match Bolton is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Bolton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Bolton won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bolton Wanderers
English League One
21.01.23	Derby County - Bolton Wanderers	2:1 ✺
14.01.23	Bolton Wanderers - Portsmouth	3:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.01.23	Bolton Wanderers - Portsmouth	1:0 ✺
English League One
07.01.23	Bolton Wanderers - Plymouth Argyle	0:0 ✺
02.01.23	Barnsley - Bolton Wanderers	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWWTW
- Forest Green Rovers
English League One
21.01.23	Forest Green Rovers - Milton Keynes Dons	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
17.01.23	Forest Green Rovers - Birmingham City	1:2 ✺
English League One
14.01.23	Exeter City - Forest Green Rovers	1:1 ✺
01.01.23	Forest Green Rovers - Port Vale	1:3 ✺
29.12.22	Forest Green Rovers - Burton Albion	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
08.10.22	Forest Green Rovers - Bolton Wanderers	1:0
English League Two
27.03.21	Forest Green Rovers - Bolton Wanderers	0:1
12.09.20	Bolton Wanderers - Forest Green Rovers	0:1

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