Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 2

Date: 10 April 2025, Thursday

Location: Estádio José Pinheiro Borda (Porto Alegre)

Referee: Gonzalez F. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 3
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV1
South-america	ESPN 5 South, ESPN South
Spain	beIN Sports
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
World	Disney+


	Internacional RS		Atlético Nacional

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.1	6.5	Watch
	1.51	3.9	6.5
	1.49	4	7	Watch
	1.52	4.03	6.9
	1.5	3.8	6.5	Watch
	1.54	4.09	6.23	Watch
	1.49	4	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.51)	3.99 ↓ (4.16)	6.66 ↑ (6.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Internacional RS
62.3%

Draw
23.6%

Atlético Nacional
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

22.7%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

22.2%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Internacional RS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Internacional RS - Atlético Nacional Predictions

Users Predictions: Internacional RS will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Internacional RS will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Anthoni (G) 35. Aguirre B. 4. Vitao 3. Rogel A. 26. Bernabei A. 8. Bruno Henrique 5. Fernando 21. Wesley 10. Alan Patrick (C) 7. Carbonero J. 13. Valencia E.	1. Ospina D. (C) 6. Roman A. 3. Aguirre Tabares J. F. 16. Tesillo W. 13. Candido C. 80. Zapata J. 21. Campuzano J. 18. Hinestroza M. 9. Morelos A. 10. Cardona E. 19. Viveros K.
Substitutes
19. Borre R. 17. Bruno Tabata 20. Clayton Sampaio 33. Diego Rosa 12. Ivan (G) 27. Kaique Rocha 23. Nathan 2. Ramon 11. Romero O. 16. Ronaldo 29. Thiago Maia 28. Vitinho	11. Arce B. 23. Arias J. J. 27. Asprilla D. 15. Castillo H. (G) 20. Castro J. 28. Garcia S. 30. Parra Atehortua K. 26. Rivero E. 17. Salazar A. 29. Sarmiento A. 31. Torres Patino J. P. 5. Toscano Bassa K. D.
Coaches
Roger Machado	Gandolfi J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Carbonero J. 🟨,
26', Zapata J. ↓, Rivero E. ↑,
43', Bernabei A. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, Alan Patrick (Pen),
59', Rogel A. 🟨,
62', Carbonero J. ↓, Vitinho ↑,
66', Bruno Henrique ↓, Clayton Sampaio ↑,
66', Rogel A. ↓, Ronaldo ↑,
69', Hinestroza M. 🟥,
72', Morelos A. ↓, Asprilla D. ↑,
76', Cardona E. 🟨,
77', Wesley ↓, Bruno Tabata ↑,
78', Valencia E. ↓, Borre R. ↑,
82', 2 - 0, Alan Patrick (Pen),
83', Borre R. 🟨,
84', Cardona E. ↓, Sarmiento A. ↑,
88', 3 - 0, Alan Patrick ⚽, Aguirre B. (A),
90+3', Rivero E. 🟨,

Preview

Now both teams are in good shape.

Atlético Nacional could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Atlético Nacional have a series of home games.

In this match Internacional is certain favorite.

There will not play in Internacional: Bruno Gomes (Knee Injury) Drummond L. (Knee Injury) Gabriel Carvalho (Foot Injury) Juninho (Inactive) Mercado G. (Knee Injury) Rochet S. (Inactive) Victor Gabriel (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Internacional: Bruno Tabata (Hamstring Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Internacional RS
Brazilian Serie A
06.04.25	Internacional RS - Cruzeiro	3:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
03.04.25	Bahia - Internacional RS	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
29.03.25	Flamengo - Internacional RS	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
16.03.25	Internacional RS - Grêmio	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Grêmio - Internacional RS	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WTTTW
- Atlético Nacional Medellin
Colombian Primera A
05.04.25	Atlético Nacional - Unión Magdalena	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
02.04.25	Atlético Nacional - Nacional Montevideo	3:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
28.03.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Atlético Nacional	2:0 ✺
23.03.25	Atlético Nacional - Independiente Medellín	1:1 ✺
19.03.25	Atlético Nacional - Deportes Tolima	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLTW

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