Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 17

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Cota (Cota)

Referee: Ospina J. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
India	FanCode, FanCode
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2


	Fortaleza CEIF		Rionegro Águilas

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	3.25	Watch
	2	3.2	3.5
	2.18	3.15	3.35	Watch
	2.35	3.05	3.56
	2.1	3.27	3.55	Watch
	2.25	2.9	3.2
	2.23	2.99	3.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.06)	3.09 ↓ (3.14)	3.41 ↓ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortaleza CEIF
42.4%

Draw
30.2%

Rionegro Águilas
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

29.6%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

30.6%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Rionegro Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Fortaleza CEIF - Rionegro Águilas Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Rionegro Águilas will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silva M. (G) 16. Cajares J. 6. Diaz Y. 18. Balanta J. 15. Cuero S. 14. Pico L. (C) 17. Balanta Carabali K. A. 10. Velasquez J. 33. Arroyo A. 24. Salas J. 9. Herrera J.	1. Arboleda I. (G) 26. Lozano D. 29. Lopes H. 3. Varela J. 32. Mena J. 25. Roa J. 19. Lozano F. (C) 15. Suarez Chalare F. A. 8. Ricaurte A. 10. Uruena B. 9. Rivaldo J.
Substitutes
7. Martinez J. 5. Medina Obando J. 8. Navarro S. 20. Orozco C. 19. Pulicastro F. 21. Ramirez S. 26. Rivas Torres R. D. 12. Santander C. (G) 29. Wilke T.	18. Alvarez A. 24. Avalo Trejos J. E. 2. Garcia J. 20. Higgins A. 99. Obregon J. 17. Quintero J. 12. Salazar A. (G)
Coaches
Oliveros S.	Nino J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, Salas J. ⚽, Arroyo A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Salas J. 🟨,
58', Cuero S. 🟨,
64', Uruena B. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
64', Roa J. ↓, Avalo Trejos J. E. ↑,
68', Suarez Chalare F. A. ↓, Obregon J. ↑,
72', Avalo Trejos J. E. 🟥,
74', Salas J. ↓, Rivas Torres R. D. ↑,
79', Herrera J. 🟨,
85', Velasquez J. ↓, Navarro S. ↑,
86', 2 - 0, Lopes H. (Own goal),
88', Ricaurte A. 🟨,
89', Ricaurte A. ↓, Quintero J. ↑,
90', Herrera J. ↓, Pulicastro F. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 11).

Recent form of Fortaleza has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Rionegro Águilas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Fortaleza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Fortaleza could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Aguilas	12	3	6	3	16:17	-1	15
16	Fortaleza	13	1	8	4	14:19	-5	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortaleza CEIF
Colombian Primera A
03.04.26	Fortaleza CEIF - Inter Bogotá	1:1 ✺
30.03.26	Millonarios - Fortaleza CEIF	2:2 ✺
24.03.26	Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo Pasto	1:2 ✺
19.03.26	Deportes Tolima - Fortaleza CEIF	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Junior Barranquilla - Fortaleza CEIF	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTLLL
- Rionegro Águilas
Colombian Primera A
11.04.26	Rionegro Águilas - Junior Barranquilla	0:3 ✺
07.04.26	Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:1 ✺
31.03.26	Deportes Tolima - Rionegro Águilas	4:1 ✺
27.03.26	Rionegro Águilas - Alianza Valledupar	1:0 ✺
23.03.26	Jaguares de Córdoba - Rionegro Águilas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
03.08.25	Rionegro Águilas - Fortaleza CEIF	2:2
17.02.25	Fortaleza CEIF - Rionegro Águilas	2:1
14.11.24	Fortaleza CEIF - Rionegro Águilas	0:1
28.04.24	Rionegro Águilas - Fortaleza CEIF	1:1

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