Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 7

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Europa-Park Stadion (Freiburg)

Referee: Aytekin D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Freiburg		Eintracht Frankfurt

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.5	2.7	Watch
	2.48	3.55	2.72	Watch
	2.56	3.7	2.77
	1.60	4.26	4.88	Watch
	2.53	3.88	2.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.61)	3.78 ↑ (3.7)	3.17 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Freiburg
42.5%

Draw
26.2%

Eintracht Frankfurt
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

26.1%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

26.6%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Freiburg's performance.

Eintracht Frankfurt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Eintracht Frankfurt might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Freiburg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eintracht Frankfurt than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eintracht Frankfurt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	32.1%	46.4%

Freiburg - Eintracht Frankfurt Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Freiburg will win (votes: 6 - 21.4%). Eintracht will win (votes: 13 - 46.4%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 32.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eintracht: 27.9% – 64.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Eintracht (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Eintracht (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 2 - 20%). Eintracht (votes: 4 - 40%). Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Atubolu N. (G) 17. Kubler L. 28. Ginter M. 3. Lienhart P. 33. Makengo J. 8. Eggestein M. (C) 44. Manzambi J. 19. Beste J. 9. Holer L. 7. Scherhant D. 20. Adamu J.	40. Kaua Santos (G) 13. Kristensen R. 4. Koch R. (C) 5. Amenda A. 3. Theate A. 16. Larsson H. 8. Chaibi F. 20. Doan R. 42. Uzun C. Y. 21. Brown N. 9. Burkardt J.
Substitutes
18. Dinkci E. 32. Grifo V. 30. Gunter C. 27. Hofler N. 24. Huth J. (G) 31. Matanovic I. 37. Rosenfelder M. 14. Suzuki Y. 29. Treu P.	19. Bahoya J. 34. Collins N. 18. Dahoud M. 27. Gotze M. 6. Hojlund O. 7. Knauff A. 15. Skhiri E. 17. Wahi E. 23. Zetterer M. (G)
Coaches
Schuster J.	Toppmoller D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2', 1 - 0, Scherhant D. ⚽, Manzambi J. (A),
18', 1 - 1, Burkardt J. ⚽,
33', Lienhart P. 🟨,
38', 1 - 2, Burkardt J. ⚽, Chaibi F. (A),
45+1', Amenda A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Kristensen R. 🟨,
63', Manzambi J. 🟨,
64', Adamu J. ↓, Matanovic I. ↑,
64', Holer L. ↓, Suzuki Y. ↑,
64', Uzun C. Y. 🟨,
65', Chaibi F. ↓, Skhiri E. ↑,
65', Uzun C. Y. ↓, Gotze M. ↑,
73', Doan R. ↓, Knauff A. ↑,
75', Makengo J. ↓, Gunter C. ↑,
75', Scherhant D. ↓, Grifo V. ↑,
80', Larsson H. ↓, Hojlund O. ↑,
80', Burkardt J. ↓, Bahoya J. ↑,
81', Manzambi J. ↓, Dinkci E. ↑,
87', 2 - 2, Grifo V. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 1.

Freiburg is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Eintracht has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Eintracht may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Freiburg: Irie C. (Illness)

There will not play in Eintracht: Baum E. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Freiburg: Kyereh D. (Lacking Match Fitness)

There are questionable in Eintracht: Collins N. (Illness)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:34. (average 1.5:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.3:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Eintracht Frankfurt - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 36.79%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Freiburg
German Bundesliga
05.10.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Freiburg	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
02.10.25	Bologna - Freiburg	1:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
28.09.25	Freiburg - Hoffenheim	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.09.25	Freiburg - Basel	2:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
20.09.25	Werder Bremen - Freiburg	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TTTWW
- Eintracht Frankfurt
German Bundesliga
04.10.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayern Munich	0:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
30.09.25	Atlético Madrid - Eintracht Frankfurt	5:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
27.09.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Eintracht Frankfurt	4:6 ✺
21.09.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Union Berlin	3:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.09.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Galatasaray	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
17.05.25	Freiburg - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:3
14.01.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Freiburg	4:1
18.02.24	Freiburg - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:3
Club Friendly
06.01.24	Eintracht Frankfurt - Freiburg	2:5
German Bundesliga
24.09.23	Eintracht Frankfurt - Freiburg	0:0
27.05.23	Eintracht Frankfurt - Freiburg	2:1
25.01.23	Freiburg - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:1

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