Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 16 March 2023, Thursday

Location: Europa-Park Stadion (Freiburg)

Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Bulgaria	BTV Action
Croatia	Arena Sport
Denmark	TV2 Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	RTL
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Freiburg		Juventus

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.2	2.38
	3.2	3.1	2.35
	3.35	3.35	2.32
	3.15	3.15	2.35
	3.35	3.19	2.41
	3.2	3.1	2.4
	3.38	3.3	2.48
	3.35	3.2	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (2.77)	3.2 ↓ (3.38)	2.39 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Freiburg
29.5%

Draw
30.1%

Juventus
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

27.8%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

27.8%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Juventus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventus than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.2%	23.2%	53.6%

Freiburg - Juventus Predictions

Users Predictions: 56 users predict this event. Freiburg will win (votes: 13 - 23.2%). Juventus will win (votes: 30 - 53.6%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 23.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Juventus: 40.5% – 66.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Freiburg has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, a chance of qtrs (27%), a small chance of semis (12%), a very small chance of final (5%), a very small chance of win league (2%).

Juventus has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, a good chance of qtrs (73%), a chance of semis (38%), a chance of final (19%), a small chance of win league (9%).

This event has big quality 71, very big importance 100, big match rating 86. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Freiburg is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Juventus is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Juventus will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Freiburg: Kyereh D. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Juventus: Alex Sandro (Muscle Injury) Bonucci L. (Muscle Injury) Ihattaren M. (Lacking Match Fitness) Kaio Jorge (Knee Injury) Milik A. (Thigh Injury) Peeters D. (Muscle Injury) Pogba P. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Freiburg: Lienhart P. (Hip Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Freiburg won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Freiburg
German Bundesliga
12.03.23	Freiburg - Hoffenheim	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
09.03.23	Juventus - Freiburg	1:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
04.03.23	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Freiburg	0:0 ✺
26.02.23	Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen	1:1 ✺
18.02.23	Bochum - Freiburg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLTTW
- Juventus
Italian Serie A
12.03.23	Juventus - Sampdoria	4:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
09.03.23	Juventus - Freiburg	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
05.03.23	Roma - Juventus	1:0 ✺
28.02.23	Juventus - Torino	4:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.02.23	Nantes - Juventus	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
09.03.23	Juventus - Freiburg	1:0

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