Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 8

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Deutsche Bank Park (Frankfurt)

Referee: Braun R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Eintracht Frankfurt		St. Pauli

	1	X	2
	1.73	4.2	4.2	Watch
	1.75	4.15	4.25	Watch
	1.7	4.3	4.63
	1.24	5.56	12.45	Watch
				Watch
	1.76	4.34	4.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.77)	4.51 ↑ (4.03)	6.03 ↑ (4.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eintracht Frankfurt
61.2%

Draw
22.2%

St. Pauli
16.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.9%

23.6%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

22.7%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eintracht Frankfurt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Eintracht Frankfurt's performance.

St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and St. Pauli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eintracht Frankfurt than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Eintracht Frankfurt that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that St. Pauli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	5.5%	12.7%

Eintracht Frankfurt - St. Pauli Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Eintracht (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - draw (2.13) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Users Predictions: Eintracht Frankfurt will win (45 of 54 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.39% – 93.27%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Eintracht Frankfurt will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Eintracht (votes: 15 - 93.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Zetterer M. (G) 13. Kristensen R. 4. Koch R. (C) 3. Theate A. 21. Brown N. 20. Doan R. 8. Chaibi F. 15. Skhiri E. 42. Uzun C. Y. 7. Knauff A. 9. Burkardt J.	22. Vasilj N. (G) 5. Wahl H. 8. Smith E. (C) 3. Mets K. 2. Saliakas M. 10. Sinani D. 16. Fujita J. 23. Oppie L. 28. Pereira Lage M. 19. Kaars M. 27. Hountondji A.
Substitutes
5. Amenda A. 19. Bahoya J. 30. Batshuayi M. 34. Collins N. 18. Dahoud M. 27. Gotze M. 40. Kaua Santos (G) 16. Larsson H. 17. Wahi E.	17. Afolayan O. 20. Ahlstrand E. 9. Ceesay A. 25. Dzwigala A. 7. Irvine J. 24. Metcalfe C. 11. Pyrka A. 21. Ritzka L. 1. Voll B. A. (G)
Coaches
Toppmoller D.	Blessin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Burkardt J. ⚽, Uzun C. Y. (A),
37', Pereira Lage M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 2 - 0, Burkardt J. ⚽, Chaibi F. (A),
60', Pereira Lage M. ↓, Afolayan O. ↑,
60', Hountondji A. ↓, Metcalfe C. ↑,
70', Kaars M. ↓, Ceesay A. ↑,
71', Uzun C. Y. ↓, Gotze M. ↑,
71', Knauff A. ↓, Bahoya J. ↑,
78', Burkardt J. ↓, Wahi E. ↑,
86', Doan R. ↓, Collins N. ↑,
86', Chaibi F. ↓, Larsson H. ↑,
86', Mets K. ↓, Irvine J. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 14).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

St. Pauli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Eintracht is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Eintracht: Baum E. (Thigh Injury) Hojlund O. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in St. Pauli: Jones R.J. (Shoulder Injury) Nemeth D. (Groin Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Eintracht won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Eintracht won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eintracht Frankfurt
UEFA Champions League
22.10.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Liverpool	1:5 ✺
German Bundesliga
19.10.25	Freiburg - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:2 ✺
04.10.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayern Munich	0:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
30.09.25	Atlético Madrid - Eintracht Frankfurt	5:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
27.09.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Eintracht Frankfurt	4:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTLLW
- FC St. Pauli
German Bundesliga
19.10.25	St. Pauli - Hoffenheim	0:3 ✺
04.10.25	Werder Bremen - St. Pauli	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	St. Pauli - Bayer Leverkusen	1:2 ✺
19.09.25	Stuttgart - St. Pauli	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	St. Pauli - Augsburg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
11.05.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - St. Pauli	2:2
11.01.25	St. Pauli - Eintracht Frankfurt	0:1
German DFB Pokal
30.10.19	St. Pauli - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:2

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