Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Europa-Park Stadion (Freiburg)

Referee: Saggi R. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	RTL, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Czech-republic	Sport 3
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 8
Germany	RTL, RTL+
Greece	ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 7
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Hungary	Sport 1
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Japan	Wowow Live
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	FOX Sports Premium
Mongolia	Premier Sports 4
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Russia	Okko Sport
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 7
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 19, Blue Sport 19, RTL, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 8, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 9
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus


	Freiburg		Utrecht

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.2	6.25
	1.52	4.35	6.5
	1.52	4.32	6.65
	1.16	6.63	20.90	Watch
	1.55	4.34	6.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.56)	4.77 ↑ (4.4)	9.35 ↑ (5.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Freiburg
68.5%

Draw
20.8%

Utrecht
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

21.6%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

21.2%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Freiburg's performance.

Utrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Utrecht might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Freiburg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Utrecht could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.9%	11.4%	5.7%

Freiburg - Utrecht Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Freiburg (1.82) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Users Predictions: Freiburg will win (29 of 34 users predict this - 85.29%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.38% – 97.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Freiburg will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Utrecht (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Atubolu N. (G) 29. Treu P. 28. Ginter M. 3. Lienhart P. 30. Gunter C. (C) 8. Eggestein M. 19. Beste J. 14. Suzuki Y. 44. Manzambi J. 32. Grifo V. 20. Adamu J.	1. Barkas V. (G) 2. Horemans S. 3. van der Hoorn M. 24. Viergever N. (C) 16. El Karouani S. 27. Engwanda A. 21. Zechiel G. 8. Bozdogan C. 22. Rodriguez M. 15. Blake A. 91. Haller S.
Substitutes
18. Dinkci E. 27. Hofler N. 9. Holer L. 24. Huth J. (G) 5. Jung A. 17. Kubler L. 33. Makengo J. 31. Matanovic I. 43. Ogbus B. 26. Philipp M. 37. Rosenfelder M. 7. Scherhant D.	25. Brouwer M. (G) 10. Cathline Y. 20. de Wit D. 40. Didden M. 44. Eerdhuijzen M. 5. Finnsson K. 33. Gadellaa K. (G) 14. Iqbal Z. 26. Jonathans M. 9. Min D. 55. Murkin D. 6. van den Berg D.
Coaches
Schuster J.	Jans R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Suzuki Y. ⚽, Gunter C. (A),
45', 2 - 0, Grifo V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Beste J. ↓, Dinkci E. ↑,
60', Engwanda A. ↓, Iqbal Z. ↑,
67', Adamu J. ↓, Matanovic I. ↑,
67', Manzambi J. ↓, Hofler N. ↑,
67', Zechiel G. ↓, de Wit D. ↑,
67', Bozdogan C. ↓, van den Berg D. ↑,
75', Grifo V. ↓, Scherhant D. ↑,
75', Suzuki Y. ↓, Rosenfelder M. ↑,
78', Blake A. ↓, Murkin D. ↑,
78', Haller S. ↓, Min D. ↑,
88', Murkin D. 🟨,

Preview

In recent matches, Freiburg has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Utrecht is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Freiburg is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Freiburg: Irie C. (Illness) Kyereh D. (Lacking Match Fitness) Osterhage P. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Utrecht: Cathline Y. (Leg Injury) Demircan E. (Inactive) Finnsson K. (Inactive) Jenner I. (Inactive) Jensen V. (Muscle Injury) Ohio N. (Inactive) Vesterlund N. (Knee Injury)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Freiburg
German Bundesliga
19.10.25	Freiburg - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:2 ✺
05.10.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Freiburg	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
02.10.25	Bologna - Freiburg	1:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
28.09.25	Freiburg - Hoffenheim	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.09.25	Freiburg - Basel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTTTW
- FC Utrecht
Dutch Eredivisie
18.10.25	Utrecht - Volendam	3:1 ✺
05.10.25	Feyenoord - Utrecht	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
02.10.25	Brann - Utrecht	1:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
28.09.25	Utrecht - Heerenveen	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.09.25	Utrecht - Lyon	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WLLTL

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