Match Info

Premier League - Round 20

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Amex Stadium (Brighton)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport MaXimo 1
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League, Sky Sport Austria Top Event
Belgium	Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 5 DRM, FuboTV
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 4, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay, Viaplay Sport News
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 5
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Haiti	Tele Haiti
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 2
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	SÝN Sport
India	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	Vidio
Ireland	Premier Sports 1 ROI
Italy	Sky Sport Arena
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Malaysia	Astro Go, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	TNT Sports
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	Amazon Prime Video, Viaplay
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 6
Nigeria	SuperSport Action, Supersport Maximo 1
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Pakistan	ARY ZAP
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Canal+ Extra 2
Portugal	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	Hub Premier 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 3
South-america	ESPN South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, USA Network
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	FPT Play


	Brighton & Hove Albion		Burnley

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	6.25
	1.49	4.55	6.7
	1.47	4.62	6.73	Watch
	1.44	4.33	6
	1.52	4.68	7.06	Watch
	1.48	4.33	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.52)	4.47 ↑ (4.1)	6.62 ↑ (6.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brighton & Hove Albion
64.3%

Draw
21.3%

Burnley
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

23.1%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

22.7%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brighton & Hove Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

The chances for Burnley have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.7%	13%	15.2%

Brighton & Hove Albion - Burnley Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 33 - 73.3%). Burnley will win (votes: 6 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brighton & Hove: 60.4% – 86.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Brighton & Hove (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Brighton & Hove Albion will win (12 of 16 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Brighton & Hove (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Burnley (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Verbruggen B. (G) 34. Veltman J. 6. van Hecke J. P. 5. Dunk L. (C) 24. Kadioglu F. 26. Ayari Y. 8. Gruda B. 25. Gomez D. 10. Rutter G. 22. Mitoma K. 19. Kostoulas C.	1. Dubravka M. (G) 2. Walker K. (C) 29. Laurent J. 18. Ekdal H. 12. Humphreys B. 23. Lucas Pires 7. Bruun Larsen J. 8. Ugochukwu L. 16. Florentino 11. Anthony J. 27. Broja A.
Substitutes
21. Boscagli O. 42. Coppola D. 29. De Cuyper M. 30. Gross P. 13. Hinshelwood J. 20. Milner J. 23. Steele J. (G) 14. Watson T. 18. Welbeck D.	48. Agyei E. 34. Banel J. 35. Barnes A. 41. Brierley G. 10. Edwards M. 54. Pimlott O. 22. Sonne O. 17. Tchaouna L. 13. Weiss M. (G)
Coaches
Hurzeler F.	Parker S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Laurent J. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Rutter G. ⚽, Kostoulas C. (A),
39', Florentino 🟨,
44', Humphreys B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 2 - 0, Ayari Y. ⚽,
55', Ugochukwu L. ↓, Sonne O. ↑,
55', Bruun Larsen J. ↓, Edwards M. ↑,
64', Broja A. ↓, Tchaouna L. ↑,
71', Mitoma K. ↓, De Cuyper M. ↑,
71', Rutter G. ↓, Welbeck D. ↑,
71', Kostoulas C. ↓, Gross P. ↑,
80', Gomez D. ↓, Milner J. ↑,
81', Anthony J. ↓, Banel J. ↑,
87', Gruda B. ↓, Watson T. ↑,
90+3', Walker K. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 14 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brighton & Hove won 1.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

In this match, Brighton & Hove is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Baleba C. (International duty) March S. (Knee Injury) Tzimas S. (Knee Injury) Webster A. (Knee Injury) Wieffer M. (Toe Injury)

There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z. (Knee Injury) Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Cullen J. (Injury) Foster L. (International duty) Mejbri H. (International duty) Roberts C. (Groin Injury) Tuanzebe A. (International duty)

There are questionable in Brighton & Hove: Minteh Y. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Burnley: Esteve M. (Muscle Injury) Flemming Z. (Knock) Worrall J. (Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Brighton & Hove won 5 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Brighton & Hove won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.9:1.1).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Brighton: 2.57%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16:5	11	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brighton & Hove Albion
English Premier League
30.12.25	West Ham United - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:2 ✺
27.12.25	Arsenal - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Sunderland	0:0 ✺
13.12.25	Liverpool - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - West Ham United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLTLT
- Burnley FC
English Premier League
30.12.25	Burnley - Newcastle United	1:3 ✺
27.12.25	Burnley - Everton	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Bournemouth - Burnley	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Burnley - Fulham	2:3 ✺
06.12.25	Newcastle United - Burnley	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
13.04.24	Burnley - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:1
09.12.23	Brighton & Hove Albion - Burnley	1:1
19.02.22	Brighton & Hove Albion - Burnley	0:3
14.08.21	Burnley - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:2
06.02.21	Burnley - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:1
06.11.20	Brighton & Hove Albion - Burnley	0:0
26.07.20	Burnley - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:2

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