Match Info

Premier League - Round 20

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Amex Stadium (Brighton) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport MaXimo 1
Albania	16:00	SuperSport 2
Argentina	12:00	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	19:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	02:00	Stan Sport
Austria	16:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League, Sky Sport Austria Top Event
Belgium	16:00	Play Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	16:00	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	12:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	17:00	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	10:00	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 5 DRM, FuboTV
Chile	12:00	Disney+
China	23:00	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	10:00	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	16:00	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	17:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
Czech Republic	16:00	CANAL+ Sport 4, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	16:00	Viaplay, Viaplay Sport News
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	17:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	16:00	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 5
Georgia	19:00	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	16:00	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	17:00	Nova Sports Prime
Haiti	10:00	Tele Haiti
Hong Kong	23:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 2
Hungary	16:00	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	15:00	SÝN Sport
India	20:30	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	22:00	Vidio
Ireland	15:00	Premier Sports 1 ROI
Italy	16:00	Sky Sport Arena
Japan	00:00	U-NEXT
Kenya	18:00	Gotv
Kosovo	16:00	Arena Premium 2
Malaysia	23:00	Astro Go, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1
Malta	16:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	09:00	TNT Sports
Myanmar	21:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	20:45	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	16:00	Amazon Prime Video, Viaplay
New Zealand	04:00	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 6
Nigeria	16:00	SuperSport Action, Supersport Maximo 1
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Pakistan	20:00	ARY ZAP
Peru	10:00	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	16:00	Canal+ Extra 2
Portugal	15:00	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	17:00	Voyo
Serbia	16:00	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	23:00	Hub Premier 2
Slovakia	16:00	Voyo
Slovenia	16:00	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South Africa	17:00	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 3
South America	—	ESPN South
South Korea	00:00	Coupang Play
Spain	16:00	DAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	16:00	Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	23:00	ELTA Sports 1
Thailand	22:00	AIS PLAY
Turkey	18:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	17:00	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
Uruguay	12:00	Disney+
Usa	10:00	NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, USA Network
Venezuela	11:00	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	22:00	FPT Play


	Brighton & Hove Albion		Burnley

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	6.25
	1.49	4.55	6.7
	1.47	4.62	6.73	Watch
	1.44	4.33	6
	1.52	4.68	7.06	Watch
	1.48	4.33	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.52)	4.47 ↑ (4.1)	6.62 ↑ (6.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Brighton & Hove Albion
64.3%

Draw
21.3%

Burnley
14.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.5%

23.1%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

22.7%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brighton & Hove Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

The chances for Burnley have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.7%	13%	15.2%

Brighton & Hove Albion - Burnley Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 33 - 73.3%). Burnley will win (votes: 6 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brighton & Hove: 60.4% – 86.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Brighton & Hove (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Brighton & Hove Albion will win (12 of 16 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Brighton & Hove (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Burnley (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Verbruggen B. (G) 34. Veltman J. 6. van Hecke J. P. 5. Dunk L. (C) 24. Kadioglu F. 26. Ayari Y. 8. Gruda B. 25. Gomez D. 10. Rutter G. 22. Mitoma K. 19. Kostoulas C.	1. Dubravka M. (G) 2. Walker K. (C) 29. Laurent J. 18. Ekdal H. 12. Humphreys B. 23. Lucas Pires 7. Bruun Larsen J. 8. Ugochukwu L. 16. Florentino 11. Anthony J. 27. Broja A.
Substitutes
21. Boscagli O. 42. Coppola D. 29. De Cuyper M. 30. Gross P. 13. Hinshelwood J. 20. Milner J. 23. Steele J. (G) 14. Watson T. 18. Welbeck D.	48. Agyei E. 34. Banel J. 35. Barnes A. 41. Brierley G. 10. Edwards M. 54. Pimlott O. 22. Sonne O. 17. Tchaouna L. 13. Weiss M. (G)
Coaches
Hurzeler F.	Parker S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Laurent J. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Rutter G. ⚽, Kostoulas C. (A),
39', Florentino 🟨,
44', Humphreys B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 2 - 0, Ayari Y. ⚽,
55', Ugochukwu L. ↓, Sonne O. ↑,
55', Bruun Larsen J. ↓, Edwards M. ↑,
64', Broja A. ↓, Tchaouna L. ↑,
71', Mitoma K. ↓, De Cuyper M. ↑,
71', Rutter G. ↓, Welbeck D. ↑,
71', Kostoulas C. ↓, Gross P. ↑,
80', Gomez D. ↓, Milner J. ↑,
81', Anthony J. ↓, Banel J. ↑,
87', Gruda B. ↓, Watson T. ↑,
90+3', Walker K. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 14 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brighton & Hove won 1.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

In this match, Brighton & Hove is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Baleba C. (International duty) March S. (Knee Injury) Tzimas S. (Knee Injury) Webster A. (Knee Injury) Wieffer M. (Toe Injury)

There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z. (Knee Injury) Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Cullen J. (Injury) Foster L. (International duty) Mejbri H. (International duty) Roberts C. (Groin Injury) Tuanzebe A. (International duty)

There are questionable in Brighton & Hove: Minteh Y. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Burnley: Esteve M. (Muscle Injury) Flemming Z. (Knock) Worrall J. (Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Brighton & Hove won 5 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Brighton & Hove won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.9:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Brighton	8	5	1	2	23:7	16	16

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Brighton: 4.11%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brighton & Hove Albion
English Premier League
30.12.25	West Ham United - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:2 ✺
27.12.25	Arsenal - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Sunderland	0:0 ✺
13.12.25	Liverpool - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - West Ham United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLTLT
- Burnley FC
English Premier League
30.12.25	Burnley - Newcastle United	1:3 ✺
27.12.25	Burnley - Everton	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Bournemouth - Burnley	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Burnley - Fulham	2:3 ✺
06.12.25	Newcastle United - Burnley	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
13.04.24	Burnley - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:1
09.12.23	Brighton & Hove Albion - Burnley	1:1
19.02.22	Brighton & Hove Albion - Burnley	0:3
14.08.21	Burnley - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:2
06.02.21	Burnley - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:1
06.11.20	Brighton & Hove Albion - Burnley	0:0
26.07.20	Burnley - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:2

Upcoming Matches