Match Info

Premier League - Round 22

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Elland Road (Leeds) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kavanagh C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport OTT 3
Argentina	12:00	Disney+
Armenia	19:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	02:00	Stan Sport
Brazil	12:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	17:00	Nova Sport
Canada	10:00	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 7 DRM, FuboTV
Chile	12:00	Disney+
China	23:00	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	10:00	Disney+
Croatia	16:00	Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	16:00	CANAL+ Sport 7, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	16:00	Viaplay
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	17:00	Viaplay
France	16:00	Canal+ Live 6
Greece	17:00	Nova Sports Start
Hong Kong	23:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 5
Iceland	15:00	SÝN Sport 5
India	20:30	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	22:00	Vidio
Italy	16:00	Sky Sport 259
Japan	00:00	U-NEXT
Malaysia	23:00	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 5, Canal+, Sooka
Malta	16:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	09:00	HBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports
Myanmar	21:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	20:45	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	16:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	04:00	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 9
Nigeria	16:00	SuperSport OTT 3
North Macedonia	16:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 4
Pakistan	20:00	ARY ZAP
Peru	10:00	Disney+
Poland	16:00	Canal+ Extra 7
Portugal	15:00	DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	17:00	Voyo
Serbia	16:00	Arena Sport 3
Singapore	23:00	Hub Premier 4
Slovakia	16:00	Voyo
Slovenia	16:00	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South Africa	17:00	SuperSport OTT 3
South Korea	00:00	Coupang Play
Spain	16:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	16:00	Viaplay
Thailand	22:00	AIS PLAY
Turkey	18:00	beIN Connect
Uruguay	12:00	Disney+
Usa	10:00	NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock
Venezuela	11:00	Disney+
Vietnam	22:00	FPT Play


	Leeds United		Fulham

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.4	3
	2.42	3.35	3
	2.34	3.48	3.15	Watch
	2.3	3.2	3
	2.4	3.48	3.06	Watch
	2.36	3.25	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.25)	3.36 ↑ (3.33)	3.06 ↓ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leeds United
40.4%

Draw
28.4%

Fulham
31.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.3%

28.6%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

29%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leeds United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Fulham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fulham than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.1%	33.3%	28.6%

Leeds United - Fulham Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Leeds will win (votes: 15 - 36.6%). Fulham will win (votes: 12 - 29.3%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 34.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leeds: 21.9% – 51.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Fulham (1.71) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Leeds (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fulham will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Leeds (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Fulham (votes: 5 - 62.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Darlow K. (G) 24. Justin J. 6. Rodon J. 5. Struijk P. 2. Bogle J. 11. Aaronson B. 4. Ampadu E. (C) 44. Gruev I. 3. Gudmundsson G. 9. Calvert-Lewin D. 19. Okafor N.	1. Leno B. (G) 21. Castagne T. 5. Andersen J. (C) 15. Cuenca J. 33. Robinson A. 20. Lukic S. 16. Berge S. 8. Wilson H. 32. Smith Rowe E. 30. Sessegnon R. 7. Jimenez R.
Substitutes
23. Bornauw S. 40. Buonanotte F. 25. Byram S. 29. Gnonto W. 8. Longstaff S. 1. Lucas Perri (G) 14. Nmecha L. 10. Piroe J. 22. Tanaka A.	35. Amissah S. 10. Cairney T. 31. Diop I. 22. Kevin 24. King J. 18. Kusi Asare J. 23. Lecomte B. (G) 6. Reed H. 11. Traore A.
Coaches
Farke D.	Silva M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Castagne T. 🟨,
28', Lukic S. 🟨,
28', Silva M. 🟨,
41', Ampadu E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Wilson H. 🟨,
65', Sessegnon R. ↓, Kevin ↑,
66', Lukic S. ↓, Cairney T. ↑,
70', Okafor N. ↓, Gnonto W. ↑,
77', Smith Rowe E. ↓, King J. ↑,
81', Gruev I. ↓, Tanaka A. ↑,
81', Bogle J. ↓, Nmecha L. ↑,
87', Cuenca J. 🟨,
88', Jimenez R. ↓, Kusi Asare J. ↑,
88', Wilson H. ↓, Diop I. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 0, Nmecha L. ⚽, Ampadu E. (A),
90+4', Aaronson B. ↓, Bornauw S. ↑,
90+5', Kusi Asare J. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leeds won 1.

Recent performances by Leeds have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fulham is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Leeds has had a series of away games.

Leeds will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Leeds: James D. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Fulham: Chukwueze S. (International duty) Iwobi A. (International duty) Rodrigo Muniz (Hamstring Injury) Tete K. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Leeds: Bogle J. (Calf Injury) Bornauw S. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Fulham: King J. (Knee Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Leeds won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:21. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Leeds won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.6:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Leeds	8	2	5	1	9:6	3	11
15	Fulham	8	2	2	4	8:10	-2	8

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Leeds: 0.59% Fulham: 0.22%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leeds United
English FA Cup
11.01.26	Derby County - Leeds United	1:3 ✺
English Premier League
07.01.26	Newcastle United - Leeds United	4:3 ✺
04.01.26	Leeds United - Manchester United	1:1 ✺
01.01.26	Liverpool - Leeds United	0:0 ✺
28.12.25	Sunderland - Leeds United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLTTT
- Fulham FC
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Fulham - Middlesbrough	3:1 ✺
English Premier League
07.01.26	Fulham - Chelsea	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Fulham - Liverpool	2:2 ✺
01.01.26	Crystal Palace - Fulham	1:1 ✺
27.12.25	West Ham United - Fulham	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
13.09.25	Fulham - Leeds United	1:0
22.04.23	Fulham - Leeds United	2:1
English FA Cup
28.02.23	Fulham - Leeds United	2:0
English Premier League
23.10.22	Leeds United - Fulham	2:3
English League Cup
21.09.21	Fulham - Leeds United	0:1 penalties
English Premier League
19.03.21	Fulham - Leeds United	1:2
19.09.20	Leeds United - Fulham	4:3

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